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A Study of the Effects of Exchange Rates on the Stock Companies in the Petrochemical Industry of the Eurozone

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  • Jana Simakova

    (School of Business Administration in Karviná, Silesian University in Opava, The Czech Republic)

Abstract

Considering the importance of the petrochemical industry as one of the strategic sectors in the eurozone economy, this study aims to evaluate the relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and stock market prices in the eurozone petrochemical industry. This paper applies Jorion’s model and panel regression framework to monthly data spanning from 2002 to 2018. Panel regressions were estimated for three periods: the whole sample, the period before the financial crisis, and the period after the crisis. These divisions allowed for the testing of the persistence of exchange rate exposure in the petrochemical sector over time. This paper provides evidence of the magnitude of the impact of exchange rate shocks. Additionally, this paper shows that the petrochemical sector of the eurozone was exposed to significant exchange rate risk at the 1 percent level during the whole sample period and that this exposure was still present even after we split the test period into the precrisis and postcrisis datasets. However, foreign exchange rate exposure increased after the start of the financial crisis in 2008. The negative coefficient of the variable representing exposure suggests that the depreciation of the euro was followed by an increase in the stock returns of the petrochemical companies in the eurozone.

Suggested Citation

  • Jana Simakova, 2020. "A Study of the Effects of Exchange Rates on the Stock Companies in the Petrochemical Industry of the Eurozone," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 22(1), pages 103-122, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:iez:survey:ces-v22_1-2020_simakova
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dominguez, Kathryn M.E. & Tesar, Linda L., 2006. "Exchange rate exposure," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 188-218, January.
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    4. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Fischer, Stanley, 1980. "Exchange Rates and the Current Account," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 960-971, December.
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    6. Marston, Richard C., 2001. "The effects of industry structure on economic exposure," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 149-164, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate; petrochemical industry; stock prices; currency exposure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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