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Study on early warning evaluation of project investment risk considering comprehensive simulation method

Author

Listed:
  • Weina Li
  • Zhinan Cui
  • Xiaochun Tang

Abstract

In order to overcome the problems of risk assessment method, such as too long assessment time and poor assessment accuracy, this paper proposes a project investment risk early warning assessment method considering the comprehensive simulation method. First, design a risk index system; secondly, the expert weight of project investment risk indicators is determined, and the objective weight of experts is calculated using similarity information; then, combined with CRITIC method, the mixed weights of index attributes are calculated; finally, the comprehensive simulation method is introduced to realise risk early warning evaluation. The results show that the accuracy of early warning under this method is always higher than 92%, and the evaluation time is always within 20 days, which effectively validates the effect of early warning evaluation of project investment risk under this method.

Suggested Citation

  • Weina Li & Zhinan Cui & Xiaochun Tang, 2023. "Study on early warning evaluation of project investment risk considering comprehensive simulation method," International Journal of Sustainable Development, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 26(3/4), pages 306-317.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijsusd:v:26:y:2023:i:3/4:p:306-317
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