IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ids/ijisen/v48y2024i2p276-300.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An empirical analysis of forecasting methods for trauma injuries in rural areas - a case study

Author

Listed:
  • Alakshendra Joshi
  • Eduardo Pérez
  • Francis A. Méndez-Mediavilla

Abstract

Trauma is an essential aspect that must be considered by governing bodies when providing and expanding healthcare services across their jurisdiction. This study focuses on analysing and forecasting physical trauma sustained from accidents, in environments both personal and work related, pertaining to individual injuries but not excluding the scope of large-scale natural disasters. The goal of the study is to better understand the limitations faced by the existing trauma healthcare infrastructure by forecasting the expected number of people requiring the services of trauma facilities in rural areas. Five types of forecasting methods were analysed to determine the best option to utilise for forecasting for individual datasets. Out of these models, ARIMA proved to be the best performing method for a significant majority of the individual datasets.

Suggested Citation

  • Alakshendra Joshi & Eduardo Pérez & Francis A. Méndez-Mediavilla, 2024. "An empirical analysis of forecasting methods for trauma injuries in rural areas - a case study," International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 48(2), pages 276-300.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijisen:v:48:y:2024:i:2:p:276-300
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=141597
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ids:ijisen:v:48:y:2024:i:2:p:276-300. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sarah Parker (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.inderscience.com/browse/index.php?journalID=188 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.