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World energy outlook in 2020 focusing on China's energy impacts on the world and Northeast Asia

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  • Ryoichi Komiyama
  • Li Zhidong
  • Kokichi Ito

Abstract

This paper presents a consistent international energy projection developed by an integrated econometric model for the purpose of analysing China's energy impacts on the energy markets in the world and Northeast Asia to 2020. Vigorous economic growth, soaring electricity demand and progressive motorisation are going to expand the primary energy demand in China, which accounts for a large part of the world primary energy increase, eventually positioning China as an important player in the world energy market and in terms of CO2 emissions. Focusing on Northeast Asia, considerable oil demand growth in China, which has only a limited oil production, would increase the regional reliance on Middle Eastern oil, thereby underlining a serious energy security problem of oil importing countries in this region. It is becoming increasingly important for the energy issue to be addressed as one where all Northeast Asian countries have a common stake and can commit themselves.

Suggested Citation

  • Ryoichi Komiyama & Li Zhidong & Kokichi Ito, 2005. "World energy outlook in 2020 focusing on China's energy impacts on the world and Northeast Asia," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 24(3/4), pages 183-210.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijgeni:v:24:y:2005:i:3/4:p:183-210
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    Cited by:

    1. Youngho Chang & Dang Thi Quynh Trang & Tsiat Siong Tan & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2021. "Competition and cooperation in the natural gas market: a game-theoretic demand-base analysis," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 21-49, December.
    2. Gan, Peck Yean & Komiyama, Ryoichi & Li, ZhiDong, 2013. "A low carbon society outlook for Malaysia to 2035," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 432-443.
    3. Sahir, Mukhtar H. & Qureshi, Arshad H., 2007. "Specific concerns of Pakistan in the context of energy security issues and geopolitics of the region," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 2031-2037, April.
    4. Cabalu, Helen, 2010. "Indicators of security of natural gas supply in Asia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 218-225, January.

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