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Can we use the Black-Scholes-Merton model to value temperature options?

Author

Listed:
  • Gunter Meissner
  • James Burke

Abstract

In 1973, Fisher Black, Myron Scholes and separately Robert Merton derived the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model, which was rewarded the Nobel Prize in 1997. Despite its limitations, the model has survived until today as the dominant pricing model for standard and exotic European style options. The model owes its success to its simplicity, high intuition and versatility. Burn analysis, which is typically applied in practise to price temperature options, lacks a rigorous mathematical foundation and can lead to arbitrage opportunities. We find that the BSM model despite its limitations is an adequate pricing model, which is superior to Burn analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Gunter Meissner & James Burke, 2011. "Can we use the Black-Scholes-Merton model to value temperature options?," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(4), pages 298-313.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijfmkd:v:2:y:2011:i:4:p:298-313
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    Cited by:

    1. Yeny E. Rodríguez & Miguel A. Pérez-Uribe & Javier Contreras, 2021. "Wind Put Barrier Options Pricing Based on the Nordix Index," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-14, February.
    2. Yuji Yamada & Takuji Matsumoto, 2021. "Going for Derivatives or Forwards? Minimizing Cashflow Fluctuations of Electricity Transactions on Power Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-28, November.
    3. Andrea Martínez Salgueiro & Maria-Antonia Tarrazon-Rodon, 2021. "Weather derivatives to mitigate meteorological risks in tourism management: An empirical application to celebrations of Comunidad Valenciana (Spain)," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 591-613, June.

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