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Testing for asymmetric nonlinear short and long-run relationships between remittances and exchange rate volatility

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  • Achouak Barguellil

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to examine the determinants of emigrant remittances by highlighting the impact of asymmetric exchange rate volatility. We have estimated an asymmetric ARDL-PMG panel model on a sample of MENA countries observed over the period 1980-2017. The results of the ARDL-PMG nonlinear model estimates indicate that, in the long-run, economic growth and fixed capital accumulation both have significant upward impacts on emigrant remittances. The incorporation of the exchange rate asymmetry assumption suggests a positive and significant effect only for downward movements in the exchange rate. The impact of exchange rate fluctuations on emigrant remittances is significant only for negative changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Achouak Barguellil, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric nonlinear short and long-run relationships between remittances and exchange rate volatility," International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 47(2/3), pages 142-155.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijesbu:v:47:y:2022:i:2/3:p:142-155
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