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Conditional volatility and correlations between Sukuks, stocks, and gold in the GCC region

Author

Listed:
  • Walaa Hammad
  • Qaiser Munir
  • Tamara Teplova
  • Muhammad Abrar ul Haq

Abstract

Financial markets around the world have suffered significantly during the current COVID-19 pandemic. This study presents an important view of the predictive capacity of COVID-19 for the correlation between Islamic bonds, equity markets, and precious commodities in the GCC region. Specifically, this study investigates whether the volatility and co-movements behaviours between Sukuk, conventional stocks, Islamic stocks, and gold are correlated before and during the pandemic. Our analysis uses a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model from the period 30 August 2013 to 31 January 2022. Our results suggest that there is a strong correlation between Sukuks, conventional stocks, and Islamic stocks before and during the crisis. However, we have observed that the correlation decreases during the pandemic. With regards to correlation, Sukuk and conventional stocks along with Sukuk and Islamic stocks maintained a low correlation, while the conventional and Islamic stocks have a high correlation.

Suggested Citation

  • Walaa Hammad & Qaiser Munir & Tamara Teplova & Muhammad Abrar ul Haq, 2024. "Conditional volatility and correlations between Sukuks, stocks, and gold in the GCC region," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 28(3/4), pages 398-416.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijecbr:v:28:y:2024:i:3/4:p:398-416
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