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The impact of government spending on non-oil-GDP in Saudi Arabia (multiplier analysis)

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  • Wael Hemrit
  • Noureddine Benlagha

Abstract

This paper examines the multiplier effect of Government spending on the non-oil Saudi Arabia economic growth. We focus on non-oil GDP rather than total GDP because activity in the oil sector is mainly determined by circumstances in the international oil market. To reach this aim, we use several econometric tools as causality tests, co-integration test and structural VAR, to estimate the short- and long-run effects of government expenditures on non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia. In this empirical investigation, we employ annual data covering the period from 1970 to 2015. Our empirical findings indicate an overall pro-growth effect of government expenditures, with significant positive fiscal multiplier in the health and agriculture sectors. By empirically assessing fiscal multipliers across diverse non-oil sectors, we perceived that variations in government expenditures are linked to same directional deviations in the growth of non-oil GDP during peak economic horizons. Especially, we find that if the economy is at a peak, we obtain suitable fiscal multipliers.

Suggested Citation

  • Wael Hemrit & Noureddine Benlagha, 2018. "The impact of government spending on non-oil-GDP in Saudi Arabia (multiplier analysis)," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 15(3), pages 350-372.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijecbr:v:15:y:2018:i:3:p:350-372
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Noha Razek, 2023. "Oil and Non-Oil Determinants of Saudi Arabia’s International Competitiveness: Historical Analysis and Policy Simulations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-39, June.
    2. Siddiqui, Aaliyah & Kautish, Pradeep & Sharma, Rajesh & Sinha, Avik & Siddiqui, Mujahid, 2022. "Evolving a policy framework discovering the dynamic association between determinants of oil consumption in India," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    3. Sweidan, Osama D. & Elbargathi, Khadiga, 2023. "Economic diversification in Saudi Arabia: Comparing the impact of oil prices, geopolitical risk, and government expenditures," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 13-24.
    4. Anis Ali, 2021. "Volatility of Oil Prices and Public Spending in Saudi Arabia: Sensitivity and Trend Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 165-172.

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