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An augmented Taylor rule for the Federal Reserve's response to asset prices

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  • Christian M. Hafner
  • Alexandre R. Lauwers

Abstract

This paper investigates whether and how the US Federal Reserve has reacted to asset price developments over the period 1979-2011. We examine both the opportunities and limitations of incorporating two asset prices, equity and real estate, into a standard forward-looking and inertial interest rate rule, based on ex-post realised monthly data and taking into account the inherent endogeneity. While the role of house prices is found to be ambiguous due to weak identification, stock prices do represent an important aspect of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy design. Our findings suggest that monetary policymakers did not target stock prices systematically, but rather reacted on few occasions during the full sample period, when misalignments in stock prices were relatively large.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian M. Hafner & Alexandre R. Lauwers, 2017. "An augmented Taylor rule for the Federal Reserve's response to asset prices," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(1/2), pages 115-151.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijcome:v:7:y:2017:i:1/2:p:115-151
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    Cited by:

    1. Devasmita Jena & Ishika Kataruka, 2022. "Monetary Response to Oil Price Shock in Asian Oil Importing Countries: Evaluation of Inflation Targeting Framework," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(4), pages 809-825, December.
    2. Jaromir Baxa & Jan Zacek, 2022. "Monetary Policy and the Financial Cycle: International Evidence," Working Papers 2022/4, Czech National Bank.
    3. Mariia A. Molodchik & Carlos Jardon & Angel Barajas, 2015. "The Firm Size Effect On Performance Due To Intangible Resources," HSE Working papers WP BRP 35/MAN/2015, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

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