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Estimation of disruption risk exposure in supply chains

Author

Listed:
  • Ulf Paulsson
  • Carl-Henric Nilsson
  • Sten Wandel

Abstract

The purpose of the paper is to provide more knowledge on how to estimate disruption risk exposure in the supply chain by developing a conceptual estimation model. The purpose is also to shortly illustrate and discuss by help of a case the possibilities to adapt this theoretical model for use in everyday practice. The developed model, which links disruption risk to disruption source, covers all flow-related disruption risks in the total supply chain from natural resources to delivered final product, seen from the angle of an individual focal unit in the supply chain. The model classifies the risk exposure into 15 different risk exposure boxes, of which 12 have 'expected result impact' and three have 'known result impact', providing a total negative result impact. The positioning of the model against other theoretical models revealed that the developed model presents a more complete and partly new structure for estimation of disruption risk exposure.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulf Paulsson & Carl-Henric Nilsson & Sten Wandel, 2011. "Estimation of disruption risk exposure in supply chains," International Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijbcrm:v:2:y:2011:i:1:p:1-19
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