IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/idn/journl/v27y2024i4gp721-740.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic Risks Of Carbon Emission Constraints

Author

Listed:
  • Yuzhe Huang

    (Shantou University, Shantou, Guangdong, China)

  • Changchun Pan

    (Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, China)

Abstract

Green and low-carbon transformation is an inevitable trend for protecting the climate and ecology while achieving stable economic development. To actively and prudently achieve carbon emission targets, the government will further implement robust policy measures to support the development of a green and low-carbon economy. However, there are risks associated with the implementation strength and frequency of future carbon emission constraint policies, which could impact different market economic entities and cause macroeconomic fluctuations. This paper analyzes the transmission mechanism of the risks associated with carbon emission constraint policies, and examines their impact on the macroeconomy. We find that the risks associated with carbon emission constraint policies can inhibit investment and financing at the capital level, and cause output decline and deflation at the production level.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuzhe Huang & Changchun Pan, 2024. "Macroeconomic Risks Of Carbon Emission Constraints," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(4), pages 721-740, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:27:y:2024:i:4g:p:721-740
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.59091/2460-9196.2413
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://bulletin.bmeb-bi.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2413&context=bmeb
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.59091/2460-9196.2413?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lamperti, Francesco & Bosetti, Valentina & Roventini, Andrea & Tavoni, Massimo & Treibich, Tania, 2021. "Three green financial policies to address climate risks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    2. Chang, Jun-Jie & Mi, Zhifu & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2023. "Temperature and GDP: A review of climate econometrics analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 383-392.
    3. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James D., 2020. "Drawing conclusions from structural vector autoregressions identified on the basis of sign restrictions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    4. Pástor, Ľuboš & Stambaugh, Robert F. & Taylor, Lucian A., 2022. "Dissecting green returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 403-424.
    5. He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and the stock return predictability of the oil industry," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Xi, Yue & Huynh, Anh Ngoc Quang & Jiang, Yushi & Hong, Yanran, 2023. "Energy transition concern: Time-varying effect of climate policy uncertainty on renewables consumption," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    7. Clara Berestycki & Stefano Carattini & Antoine Dechezleprêtre & Tobias Kruse, 2022. "Measuring and assessing the effects of climate policy uncertainty," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1724, OECD Publishing.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chi Wei Su & Meng Qin, 2024. "Unravelling Dynamics And Connectedness: Distinguishing The Influence Of Sustainable Finance And Artificial Intelligence On Energy Sustainability In China," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(4), pages 741-766, December.
    2. Hao Dong & Tao Li, 2023. "Climate Economics and Finance: A Literature Review," Climate Economics and Finance, Anser Press, vol. 1(1), pages 29-45, November.
    3. Liu, Yulin & Wang, Junbo & Wen, Fenghua & Wu, Chunchi, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and bank systemic risk: A creative destruction perspective," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Gasparini, Matteo, 2023. "Are financial markets pricing the net zero carbon transition? A reconsideration of the carbon premium," INET Oxford Working Papers 2023-23, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    5. Zhang, Yaojie & Song, Bingheng & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong, 2024. "Abnormal temperature and the cross-section of stock returns in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    6. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and the U.S. economic cycle," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    7. Sun, Yanpeng & Song, Yuru & Long, Chi & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "How to improve global environmental governance? Lessons learned from climate risk and climate policy uncertainty," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1666-1676.
    8. Hege, Ulrich & Pouget, Sébastien & Zhang, Yifei, 2023. "Climate Patents and Financial Markets," TSE Working Papers 23-1400, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2024.
    9. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    10. Haibei Chen & Xianglian Zhao, 2023. "Use intention of green financial security intelligence service based on UTAUT," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(10), pages 10709-10742, October.
    11. Cortez, Maria Céu & Andrade, Nuno & Silva, Florinda, 2022. "The environmental and financial performance of green energy investments: European evidence," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    12. Ciciretti, Rocco & Dalò, Ambrogio & Dam, Lammertjan, 2023. "The contributions of betas versus characteristics to the ESG premium," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 104-124.
    13. Ballester, Laura & González-Urteaga, Ana & Shen, Long, 2024. "Green bond issuance and credit risk: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Emre Arat & Britta Hachenberg & Florian Kiesel & Dirk Schiereck, 2023. "Greenium, credit rating, and the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(7), pages 547-557, December.
    15. Ferriani, Fabrizio, 2023. "Issuing bonds during the Covid-19 pandemic: Was there an ESG premium?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    16. Dafermos, Yannis & Nikolaidi, Maria, 2022. "Assessing climate policies: an ecological stock–flow consistent perspective," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 38039, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    17. Ahad, Muhammad & Imran, Zulfiqar Ali & Shahzad, Khurram, 2024. "Safe haven between European ESG and energy sector under Russian-Ukraine war: Role of sustainable investments for portfolio diversification," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    18. Torsten Ehlers & Ulrike Elsenhuber & Kumar Jegarasasingam & Eric Jondeau, 2022. "Deconstructing ESG Scores: How to Invest with Your own Criteria," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-23, Swiss Finance Institute.
    19. Huang, Bihong & Punzi, Maria Teresa & Wu, Yu, 2022. "Environmental regulation and financial stability: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    20. Dunbar, Kwamie & Treku, Daniel & Sarnie, Robert & Hoover, Jack, 2023. "What does ESG risk premia tell us about mutual fund sustainability levels: A difference-in-differences analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Carbon emission constraints; Policy risks; Output;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • Q20 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:27:y:2024:i:4g:p:721-740. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lutzardo Tobing The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Lutzardo Tobing to update the entry or send us the correct address or Jimmy Kathon (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bigovid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.