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Covid-19 Uncertainty And Monetary Policy Responses: Evidence From Emerging Market Economies

Author

Listed:
  • K.P. Prabheesh

    (Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad)

  • Solikin M. Juhro

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Cicilia A. Harun

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

This paper examines the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission in emerging economies during the COVID-19 outbreak. Using data from 14 emerging economies severely affected by the pandemic and the autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration, the study examines the effectiveness of monetary policy in affecting output, inflation, and credit. The study finds that: (1) In most economies, the monetary policy transmission to inflation is weakened due to the uncertainty created by the COVID-19 pandemic; (2) in a few economies, the transmission is found to be effective in stabilizing credit and output; and (3) the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic induced economic agents to follow a “cautionary” or “wait and see” approach.

Suggested Citation

  • K.P. Prabheesh & Solikin M. Juhro & Cicilia A. Harun, 2021. "Covid-19 Uncertainty And Monetary Policy Responses: Evidence From Emerging Market Economies," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 24(4), pages 489-516, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:24:y:2021:i:4a:p:489-516
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v24i4.1692
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "International spillovers of U.S. monetary uncertainty and equity market volatility to China’s stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Naiborhu, Elis Deriantino & Ulfa, Dhanita, 2023. "The lending implication of a funding for lending scheme policy during COVID-19 pandemic: The case of Indonesia Banks," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1059-1069.
    3. Behera, Harendra & Gunadi, Iman & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2023. "COVID-19 uncertainty, financial markets and monetary policy effects in case of two emerging Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 173-189.
    4. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Iyke, Bernard Njindan & Maheepala, M.M.J.D., 2022. "Conventional monetary policy, COVID-19, and stock markets in emerging economies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Policy effectiveness; COVID-19; Pandemic; Uncertainty; Emerging economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

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