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Asymmetric Effect Of Crude Oil And Palm Oil Prices On Economic Growth: Evidence From Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • K.P. Prabheesh

    (Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad)

  • Nisful Laila

    (Universitas Airlangga)

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the impact of the price of crude oil petrol and palm oil on Indonesia's economic growth. Using quarterly data from 2000 to 2019 and linear, and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to cointegration, the study finds 1) A significant non-linear effect of oil prices on country's output. 2) The palm oil price changes have a higher effect on the country's output as compared to petroleum prices. 3) A decline in palm price in the international market leads to a higher adverse effect on the country's economic growth as compared to petroleum prices.

Suggested Citation

  • K.P. Prabheesh & Nisful Laila, 2020. "Asymmetric Effect Of Crude Oil And Palm Oil Prices On Economic Growth: Evidence From Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 23(2), pages 253-268, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:23:y:2020:i:2f:p:253-268
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v23i1.1304
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    Cited by:

    1. Pang, Deliang & Liu, Lingxi, 2024. "Navigating the path to sustainable resource management: Nexus between financial openness, technological advancements, and mineral resources volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Zhang, Yang & Huang, Yichen & Wang, Xiao, 2023. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty, oil prices, and technological innovations on natural resources footprint in BRICS economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    3. Liu, Dongwang & Yang, Ziqi, 2024. "Asymmetric linkages among fintech, oil prices, governance, and growth in Southeast Asian economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    4. Liu, Haiying & Saleem, Muhammad Mansoor & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh & Khan, Irfan & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif, 2022. "Impact of governance and globalization on natural resources volatility: The role of financial development in the Middle East North Africa countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Lin, Shiwei & Wang, Yanan & Niu, Xiaojian & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2022. "Revisiting volatility in global natural resources commodities? Evidence from global data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Zhou, Qiyun & Wu, Jianpeng & Zuo, Xiaoming, 2024. "Influence of oil prices and precious metals on green growth: Role of digitization in BRICS region," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    7. Bakhsh, Satar & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "How does natural resource price volatility affect economic performance? A threshold effect of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    8. Liu, Haiying & Alharthi, Majed & Atil, Ahmed & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif & Khan, Irfan, 2022. "A non-linear analysis of the impacts of natural resources and education on environmental quality: Green energy and its role in the future," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Ma, Qiang & Zhang, Mei & Ali, Sher & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Khan, Zeeshan, 2021. "Natural resources commodity prices volatility and economic performance: Evidence from China pre and post COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Abdimalik Ali Warsame, 2022. "Does Oil Price Affect the Economic Growth in Somalia Asymmetrically?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 47-54, September.
    11. Arif, Asma & Minh Vu, Hieu & Cong, Ma & Hon Wei, Leow & Islam, Md. Monirul & Niedbała, Gniewko, 2022. "Natural resources commodity prices volatility and economic performance: Evaluating the role of green finance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    12. Arvian Triantoro & Muhammad Zaheer Akhtar & Shiraz Khan & Khalid Zaman & Haroon ur Rashid Khan & Abdul Wahab Pathath & Muhamad Amar Mahmad & Kamil Sertoglu, 2023. "Riding the Waves of Fluctuating Oil Prices: Decoding the Impact on Economic Growth," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 34-50, March.
    13. Pham Thi, Thuy Dung & Do, Hai Dung & Paramaiah, Ch & Duong, Nam Tien & Pham, Van Kien & Shamansurova, Zilola, 2023. "Sustainable economic performance and natural resource price volatility in the post-covid-pandemic: Evidence using GARCH models in Chinese context," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil price; Palm oil; Non-linear autoregressive distributed lag model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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