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The Political Economics Side of the J-Curve

Author

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  • António Caleiro

Abstract

: About 20 years ago, van der Ploeg analyzed the implications of the J-curve effect for the political business cycle in a small open economy (van der Ploeg, 1989a). It was then shown that a sudden jump in the exchange rates on the election day should be observed if the government, in order to maximize its popularity, explores a J-curve effect. As a way of celebrating this work, a simulation study is presented in this paper, which confirms the exchange rate overvaluation result a la van der Ploeg.

Suggested Citation

  • António Caleiro, 2009. "The Political Economics Side of the J-Curve," The IUP Journal of Applied Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(3-4), pages 23-37, May-July.
    • Handle: RePEc:icf:icfjae:v:08:y:2009:i:3-4:p:23-37
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonio Caleiro, 2011. "On the Electoral Dimension of International Policy Coordination," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 1(3), pages 103-103.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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