IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/ijefaa/v9y2017i12p44-53.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating the Optimal Time for a Road Concession Contract in Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Douglas Pivatto
  • Rodrigo Nobre Fernandez
  • Helton Saulo
  • Andre Carraro

Abstract

Brazil has one of the largest road networks managed under concession contracts in the world. The concessions of the Federal Concession Program are divided into three stages. The main aim of this research was to identify critical successful contracts from the Third Stage of the Concession Program. The methodology adopted follows the model proposed by Ng et al. (2007). This model verifies the probability at which the project will be successfully run within the term contract. The results showed a discrepancy between the time contractually agreed and the one simulated by the model for two of the seven contracts signed in the Third Stage of the Concession Program.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas Pivatto & Rodrigo Nobre Fernandez & Helton Saulo & Andre Carraro, 2017. "Estimating the Optimal Time for a Road Concession Contract in Brazil," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(12), pages 44-53, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:9:y:2017:i:12:p:44-53
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/70641/39140
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/70641
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Armando Castelar Pinheiro, 2015. "Regulatory Reform in Brazilian Infrastructure: Where Do We Stand?," Discussion Papers 0123, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    2. Zhang, Zitao (Arthur) & Durango-Cohen, Pablo L., 2012. "A strategic model of public–private partnerships in transportation: Effect of taxes and cost structure on investment viability," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 9-18.
    3. Beria, Paolo & Ramella, Francesco & Laurino, Antonio, 2015. "Motorways economic regulation: A worldwide survey," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 23-32.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Benedetto, Valerio & Smith, Andrew S.J. & Nash, Chris A., 2017. "Evaluating the roles and powers of rail regulatory bodies in Europe: A survey-based approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 116-123.
    2. Laurino, Antonio & Ramella, Francesco & Beria, Paolo, 2015. "The economic regulation of railway networks: A worldwide survey," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 202-212.
    3. Shu, Hang & Durango-Cohen, Pablo L., 2021. "On the design of optimal auctions for road concessions: Firm selection, government payments, toll and capacity schedules with imperfect information," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 210-236.
    4. Tan, Bing Qing & Xu, Su Xiu & Thürer, Matthias & Kang, Kai & Zhao, Zhiheng & Li, Ming, 2024. "Booking versus search-based parking strategy: A game-theoretic methodology," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Juan David González-Ruiz & Sergio Botero-Botero & Eduardo Duque-Grisales, 2018. "Financial Eco-Innovation as a Mechanism for Fostering the Development of Sustainable Infrastructure Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-19, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    project analysis; road concessions; project simulation; transport economics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:9:y:2017:i:12:p:44-53. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.