IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/ijefaa/v16y2024i11p1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of the Transmission of Oil Price Volatility to ECOWAS Stock Markets: An MSGARCH and GARCH BEKK Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Prao Yao Séraphin
  • Mounoufie Koffi Valery

Abstract

This research aims to examine the transmission of oil price volatility to ECOWAS stock markets between November 3, 2017, and June 16, 2022, utilising daily data from the three major financial markets. To do this, we used the MSGARCH and GARCH BEKK models. The study concluded that oil returns and ECOWAS financial market results are volatile. Furthermore, the volatility of oil returns is considerably communicated to the returns of the BRVM, GSE, and NSE before and after the COVID-19 crisis, with the NSE showing a larger amplitude. The paper advises accelerating the integration of the zone’s financial markets and establishing a stabilisation fund.

Suggested Citation

  • Prao Yao Séraphin & Mounoufie Koffi Valery, 2024. "Analysis of the Transmission of Oil Price Volatility to ECOWAS Stock Markets: An MSGARCH and GARCH BEKK Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(11), pages 1-1, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:16:y:2024:i:11:p:1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/download/0/0/50668/54899
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/0/50668
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aloui, Riadh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2013. "A time-varying copula approach to oil and stock market dependence: The case of transition economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 208-221.
    2. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    3. Debojyoti Das & M. Kannadhasan & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee, 2018. "Has co-movement dynamics in emerging stock markets changed after global financial crisis? New evidence from wavelet analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(20), pages 1447-1453, November.
    4. French, Kenneth R., 1980. "Stock returns and the weekend effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 55-69, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Olson, Dennis & Mossman, Charles & Chou, Nan-Ting, 2015. "The evolution of the weekend effect in US markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 56-63.
    2. Péter Farkas, 2013. "Counting Process Generated by Boundary-crossing Events. Theory and Statistical Applications," CEU Working Papers 2013_4, Department of Economics, Central European University.
    3. LeBaron, Blake, 2003. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance,: Philip Hans Franses and Dick van Dijk, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2000, 296 pp., Paperback, ISBN 0-521-77965-0, $33, [UK pound]22.95, [," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 751-752.
    4. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654, November.
    5. Takatoshi Ito & V. Vance Roley, 1988. "Intraday yen/dollar exchange rate movements: news or noise?," Research Working Paper 88-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    6. Morema, Kgotso & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2018. "The impact of oil and gold price fluctuations on the South African equity market: volatility spillovers and implications for portfolio management," MPRA Paper 87637, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Stephen Keef & Melvin Roush, 2004. "Day-of-the-week effects: New Zealand bank bills, 1985-2000," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(12), pages 859-873.
    8. Ramona Dumitriu & Razvan Stefanescu, 2019. "Stock Prices Behavior Before and After Friday the 13th," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 20-30.
    9. Mokni, Khaled, 2020. "A dynamic quantile regression model for the relationship between oil price and stock markets in oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    10. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Benlagha, Noureddine, 2016. "A time-varying copula approach for modelling dependency: New evidence from commodity and stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 37, pages 168-189.
    11. Yingying Xu & Jichang Zhao, 2022. "Can sentiments on macroeconomic news explain stock returns? Evidence form social network data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2073-2088, April.
    12. Rossana, Robert J., 1988. "Interrelated Demands for Buffer Stocks and Productive Inputs: Estimates for Two-Digit Manufacturing Industries," Department of Economics and Business - Archive 259428, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
    13. Michel DIMOU & Alexandra SCHAFFAR & Zhihong CHEN & Shihe FU, 2008. "LA CROISSANCE URBAINE CHINOISE RECONSIDeReE," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 27, pages 109-131.
    14. Bosker, Maarten & Brakman, Steven & Garretsen, Harry & Schramm, Marc, 2008. "A century of shocks: The evolution of the German city size distribution 1925-1999," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 330-347, July.
    15. Bierens, H.J. & Broersma, L., 1991. "The relation between unemployment and interest rate : some international evidence," Serie Research Memoranda 0112, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    16. Muhammad Zia Ullah Khan & Muhammad Illyas & Muqqadas Rahman & Chaudhary Abdul Rahman, 2015. "Money Monetization and Economic Growth in Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 3(4), pages 184-192, April.
    17. Xu, Haifeng & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2012. "Dynamic linkages of stock prices between the BRICs and the United States: Effects of the 2008–09 financial crisis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 344-352.
    18. Guili Liao & Qimeng Liu & Rongmao Zhang & Shifang Zhang, 2022. "Rank test of unit‐root hypothesis with AR‐GARCH errors," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(5), pages 695-719, September.
    19. Yap, Wei Yim & Lam, Jasmine S.L., 2006. "Competition dynamics between container ports in East Asia," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 35-51, January.
    20. Carol Alexander & Anca Dimitriu, 2003. "Equity Indexing: Conitegration and Stock Price Dispersion: A Regime Switiching Approach to market Efficiency," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2003-02, Henley Business School, University of Reading.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:16:y:2024:i:11:p:1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.