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The Effect of Oil Price Shocks on Economic Activity in Saudi Arabia: Econometric Approach

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  • Goblan Algahtani

Abstract

This paper is attempt to investigate the effect of oil price shocks on the Saudi's economic activity using annual data (1970-2015) to cover all of oil price shocks; particularly the recent decline in oil prices amid 2014. The vector autoregressive (VAR) and vector error correction model (VECM) were utilized to investigate the long-run and the short-run relationships between variables. The findings suggest a positive and significant relationship between oil prices and the Saudi's GDP in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Goblan Algahtani, 2016. "The Effect of Oil Price Shocks on Economic Activity in Saudi Arabia: Econometric Approach," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(8), pages 124-124, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijbmjn:v:11:y:2016:i:8:p:124
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christiane Baumeister & Gert Peersman, 2013. "Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 1-28, October.
    2. Khalid A. Alkhathlan, 2013. "Contribution of oil in economic growth of Saudi Arabia," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 343-348, March.
    3. Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Markwardt, Gunther, 2009. "The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 134-151, January.
    4. Usama Al-mulali & Che Normee Binti Che Sab, 2013. "The impact of oil shocks on China's GDP: a time series analysis," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 37(1), pages 20-29, March.
    5. Hamilton, James D, 1983. "Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(2), pages 228-248, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ulrich Blum & Jiarui Zhong, 2021. "The Loss of Raw Material Criticality: Implications of the Collapse of Saudi Arabian Oil Exports," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 56(6), pages 362-370, November.
    2. NASEEM, Sana, 2020. "Performance Of Fiscal Measures In Rectifying Fiscal Imbalances In Saudi Arabia," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 24(4), pages 60-67, December.

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    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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