IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibf/riafin/v3y2010i2p1-27.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Es El Riesgo Cambiario Preciado En El Mercado Accionario Chileno? Un Estudio Empirico Basado En La Teoria De Precios Por Arbitraje

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Sandoval
  • Angelo Benvenuto

Abstract

Using the approach of Burmeister and McElroy (1988), we jointly estimate the factor sensitivities and risk premia that important macroeconomic surprises have on the stock return generating process in the Chilean equity market, which are assumed generated by the APT. As a new contribution we test whether surprises on the exchange rate are priced and probe the exogeneity of the portfolio excess returns that captures the unobserved surprise factor. The empirical results show evidence in favor of January effect, no rejection of the APT restrictions on the linear factor model, positive and statistically significant risk premia for surprises associated to the relative price of copper-oil, exchange rate (peso-USD, peso-pound, peso-yen) and the Monthly Economic Activity Index growth. A negative and statistically significant risk premia for inflation surprises is found. However, we found mixed results for other exchange rate proxies. Finally the CAPM model is rejected in favor of the APT.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Sandoval & Angelo Benvenuto, 2010. "Es El Riesgo Cambiario Preciado En El Mercado Accionario Chileno? Un Estudio Empirico Basado En La Teoria De Precios Por Arbitraje," Revista Internacional Administracion & Finanzas, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 3(2), pages 1-27.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:riafin:v:3:y:2010:i:2:p:1-27
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.theibfr2.com/RePEc/ibf/riafin/riaf-v3n2-2010/RIAF-V3N2-2010-1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stephen A. Ross, 2013. "The Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 1, pages 11-30, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Chen, Nai-Fu & Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1986. "Economic Forces and the Stock Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(3), pages 383-403, July.
    3. Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus & Tapia, Matias, 2002. "Inflation targeting in Chile," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 125-146, August.
    4. McElroy, Marjorie B. & Burmeister, Edwin & Wall, Kent D., 1985. "Two estimators for the apt model when factors are measured," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 271-275.
    5. Allayannis, George & Weston, James P, 2001. "The Use of Foreign Currency Derivatives and Firm Market Value," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 243-276.
    6. repec:bla:jfinan:v:43:y:1988:i:3:p:721-33 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Fuentes S.M., Rodrigo & Gregoire C., Jorge & Zurita L., Salvador, 2006. "Factores macroeconómicos en rendimientos accionarios chilenos," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(289), pages 125-138, enero-mar.
    8. Gibbons, Michael R & Hess, Patrick, 1981. "Day of the Week Effects and Asset Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 54(4), pages 579-596, October.
    9. Chan, K. C. & Chen, Nai-fu & Hsieh, David A., 1985. "An exploratory investigation of the firm size effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 451-471, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mark J. Flannery & Aris A. Protopapadakis, 2002. "Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(3), pages 751-782.
    2. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Eficiencia De Mercado, Administracion De Carteras De Fondos Y Behavioural Finance," Finance 0503028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2005.
    3. De Moor, Lieven & Sercu, Piet, 2013. "The smallest firm effect: An international study," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 129-155.
    4. Trabelsi, Mohamed Ali, 2010. "Choix de portefeuille: comparaison des différentes stratégies [Portfolio selection: comparison of different strategies]," MPRA Paper 82946, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Dec 2010.
    5. Wayne E. Ferson & Campbell R. Harvey, 1999. "Conditioning Variables and the Cross Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(4), pages 1325-1360, August.
    6. Zura Kakushadze & Willie Yu, 2016. "Multifactor Risk Models and Heterotic CAPM," Papers 1602.04902, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2016.
    7. Chris Brooks & Xiafei Li & Joelle Miffre, 2009. "Time Varying Volatility and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns Â," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2009-01, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    8. Séverine CAUCHIE & Martin HOESLI, 2004. "The Integration of Securitized Real Estate and Financial Assets," FAME Research Paper Series rp111, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
    9. Jagannathan, Ravi & Wang, Zhenyu, 1996. "The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 3-53, March.
    10. Antoniou, Antonios & Garrett, Ian & Priestley, Richard, 1998. "Calculating the equity cost of capital using the APT: the impact of the ERM," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 949-965, December.
    11. Campbell, John Y, 1996. "Understanding Risk and Return," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(2), pages 298-345, April.
    12. Daniel, Kent & Titman, Sheridan, 1997. "Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross Sectional Variation in Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 1-33, March.
    13. Javed Iqbal & Aziz Haider, 2005. "Arbitrage Pricing Theory: Evidence From An Emerging Stock Market," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 123-139, Jan-Jun.
    14. Gur Huberman & Zhenyu Wang, 2005. "Arbitrage pricing theory," Staff Reports 216, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    15. Clare, Andrew D. & Priestley, Richard, 1998. "Risk factors in the Malaysian stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 6(1-2), pages 103-114, May.
    16. Evangelos Karanikas & George Leledakis & Elias Tzavalis, 2006. "Structural Changes in Expected Stock Returns Relationships: Evidence from ASE," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(9‐10), pages 1610-1628, November.
    17. David C. Ling & Andy Naranjo, 1999. "The Integration of Commercial Real Estate Markets and Stock Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 27(3), pages 483-515, September.
    18. Arshad Hasan & M. Tariq Javed, 2009. "An Empirical Investigation of the Causal Relationship among Monetary Variables and Equity Market Returns," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 14(1), pages 115-137, Jan-Jun.
    19. Hasan, M.Emrul, 2010. "Behavioral approach to Arbitrage Pricing Theory," MPRA Paper 26343, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Zura Kakushadze, 2015. "Heterotic Risk Models," Papers 1508.04883, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2016.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    APT; macroeconomic surprises; exchange rate.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibf:riafin:v:3:y:2010:i:2:p:1-27. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mercedes Jalbert (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.