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The Effects Of Exchange Rate Volatility On South Africa’S Trade With The European Union

Author

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  • E. M. Ekanayake
  • Ranjini L. Thaver
  • Daniel Plante

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the effects of the real exchange rate volatility on South Africa’s trade flows with the European Union over the period 1980 to 2009. Our study uses quarterly trade flows on South Africa’s exports and imports and utilizes the bounds testing approach to cointegration, and error-correction model. Our results reveal that imports depend positively on the levels of domestic economic activity and foreign exchange reserves but negatively on relative prices and exchange rate volatility. In addition, exports depend positively on the levels of foreign economic activity but negatively on relative prices and exchange rate volatility. Furthermore, the exchange volatility exerts mixed effects in the short-run and in the long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • E. M. Ekanayake & Ranjini L. Thaver & Daniel Plante, 2012. "The Effects Of Exchange Rate Volatility On South Africa’S Trade With The European Union," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(3), pages 13-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:ijbfre:v:6:y:2012:i:3:p:13-26
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Nonlinear Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 61(3), pages 15-38.
    3. Nguyen, Quyen T.K. & Almodóvar, Paloma, 2018. "Export intensity of foreign subsidiaries of multinational enterprises: The role of trade finance availability," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 231-245.
    4. Christelle Meniago & Joel Hinaunye Eita, 2017. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Deter Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 62-69.
    5. Fourie, Justin & Pretorius, Theuns & Harvey, Rhett & Henrico, Van Niekerk & Phiri, Andrew, 2016. "Nonlinear relationship between exchange rate volatility and economic growth: A South African perspective," MPRA Paper 74671, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Iulia Iuga, 2020. "The Influence of The Exchange Rate on Imports – Romanian Case Study," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 975-982, August.
    7. Flavio Vilela Vieira & Cleomar Gomes da Silva, 2021. "What drives export performance in the BRICS countries? An ARDL investigation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 686-695.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    South Africa; imports; exports; exchange rate volatility; panel cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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