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The Dynamic Interaction Between Foreign Equity Flows And Returns: Evidence From The Johannesburg Stock Exchange

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  • Joseph J. French

Abstract

This research examines the dynamic relationship between foreign portfolio equity flows and equity returns on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The primary objective of this research is to uncover how equity market returns influence foreign cross border portfolio equity flows and in turn how those portfolio flows affect equity returns. To understand the linkages between equity flows and market returns, the current research employs vector autoregressive models and presents the results of variance decompositions, impulse response functions and causality tests. The results show that foreign equity flows are ‘pulled’ into South Africa by high returns on the JSE. This finding is consistent with a broad literature on other emerging markets. This research also finds causal link between net equity flows and returns, indicating that the evolution of the JSE is independent of foreign portfolio activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph J. French, 2011. "The Dynamic Interaction Between Foreign Equity Flows And Returns: Evidence From The Johannesburg Stock Exchange," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 5(4), pages 45-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:ijbfre:v:5:y:2011:i:4:p:45-56
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Haakon Kavli & Nicola Viegi, 2017. "Are Determinants of Portfolio Flows Always the Same? - South African Results from a Time Varying Parameter Var Model," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(1), pages 3-27, March.
    2. Diane Wilcox & Tim Gebbie, 2013. "Factorising equity returns in an emerging market through exogenous shocks and capital flows," Papers 1306.5302, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2013.
    3. Samson Edo & Eseosa Joy Sowemimo, 2022. "Correlative and asymmetric effects of information technology on capital flows," Netnomics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 231-257, October.
    4. Yue Meinn GOH & Ros Zam Zam SAPIAN, 2017. "Return, Volatility And Fund Flows Linkages: Malaysian Evidence," Management and Marketing Journal, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 0(2), pages 59-69, November.
    5. Ros Zam Zam Sapian & Jing Quan Lee, 2018. "Return, Volatility and Equity Fund Flows Linkages: Evidence from an Emerging Market," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 8(7), pages 172-186, July.
    6. Ros Zam Zam Sapian & Noor Azryani Auzairy, 2015. "Foreign Equity Flows and Market Return Linkages: Evidence of Malaysian Stock Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(5_suppl), pages 1-14, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Portfolio flows; International investment; Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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