Statistische Explorationen im Vorfeld der Eingliederungsbilanz : Monitoring der Verbleibsquote (Statistical explorations in the run-up to the employment status : monitoring the destination rate)

"In the decree on the integration balance it is proposed, with regard to the balances to be drawn up, to use the first two report years, 1998 and 1999, above all to gather experience. In 1999 for the first time the integration balances planned in accordance with §11 of the Social Code Volume III begin in earnest. The following article deals with the problems that have to be solved in association with this, which have to be dealt with for the monitoring under the headwords 'establishing comparability' and 'order of standing of the employment offices' as well as 'competition between the employment offices'. In this respect first experiences are announced. The Federal Employment Service has developed a new procedure in which statistics are presented in table form. Here it is shown that it will not be possible to carry out an adequate analysis on the basis of the tables. In order to establish the comparability demanded in the law, as a trial older individual data on the employment status of participants in further vocational training is consulted, aggregated for the employment office areas and subjected to a multiple regression analysis. The procedure and the results obtained with the specific data suggest that the procedure could be suitable for the analyses to be dealt with in the context of the integration balance. Only on the basis of the real data, which will be available in the late summer of this year, will it become clear to what extent the procedure will prove itself when the real thing happens and to what extent the attempt succeeds to use it to provide a basis for the competition between the employment offices which is desired by the legislator." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))