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The Impact of Aging Agricultural Labor Population on Farmland Output: From the Perspective of Farmer Preferences

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  • Guancheng Guo
  • Qiyu Wen
  • Jingjuan Zhu

Abstract

Chinese agriculture is facing an aging workforce which could negatively impact the industry. In this context, research is needed on how work preferences and age of farmers affect agricultural output. This paper attempts to investigate these factors to more fully understand the impact of an aging agricultural labor population on agricultural production. The results show that, in this context of aging, changes in the working-age households have a significant impact on agricultural output. Despite the fact that the impacts of intention to abandon land management were not significant, we can ignore this preference in the workforce. The combination of changes in the composition of the working-age households indicates that 58.53 percent of the agricultural producers will likely quit. This is a potential threat for the future of agricultural development. We also found that elderly farmers who do not intend to abandon farming had higher agricultural output compared to other farmers. This indicates that the adverse effects of changes in the agricultural population age result more from the agricultural output of older farmers who intend to give up farming. This intention adversely affected other elements and reduced investment. Therefore, various forms of training should increase efforts to cultivate modern professional farmers and policies should be simultaneously developed to increase agricultural production levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Guancheng Guo & Qiyu Wen & Jingjuan Zhu, 2015. "The Impact of Aging Agricultural Labor Population on Farmland Output: From the Perspective of Farmer Preferences," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2015, pages 1-7, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnlmpe:730618
    DOI: 10.1155/2015/730618
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    2. Hui Zhang & Jing Li & Tianshu Quan, 2023. "Strengthening or Weakening: The Impact of an Aging Rural Workforce on Agricultural Economic Resilience in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, July.
    3. Gilbert Exaud Mushi & Pierre-Yves Burgi & Giovanna Di Marzo Serugendo, 2024. "State of Agricultural E-Government Services to Farmers in Tanzania: Toward the Participatory Design of a Farmers Digital Information System (FDIS)," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-14, March.
    4. Odemero, Achoja Felix & Miebi, Gbigbi Theophilus & Aramide, Ikpoza Eguono & Ebidenere, Denghan Janet, 2020. "Upgrading Rural Youths' Capacity for Driving Shrimp-Based Agribusiness Value Chain in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society (AESS), vol. 10(01), January.
    5. Zhe Chen & Apurbo Sarkar & Md. Shakhawat Hossain & Xiaojing Li & Xianli Xia, 2021. "Household Labour Migration and Farmers’ Access to Productive Agricultural Services: A Case Study from Chinese Provinces," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-20, October.
    6. In-Seok Hwang & Jeong-Hun Kim & Wan-Tae Im & Hwan-Hong Jeung & Ju-Seok Nam & Chang-Seop Shin, 2024. "Analyzing Safety Factors and Predicting Fatigue Life of Weak Points in an Electrically Driven, Multi-Purpose Cultivation Tractor," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-17, March.
    7. Mengjie Tian & Mingyong Hong & Ji Wang, 2023. "Land resources, market-oriented reform and high-quality agricultural development," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4165-4197, December.
    8. Wenfeng Zhou & Yan Yang & Jia He & Dingde Xu, 2023. "Does Labor Aging Inhibit Farmers’ Straw-Returning Behavior? Evidence from Rural Rice Farmers in Southwest China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-15, September.
    9. Ngadi Ngadi & Andy Ahmad Zaelany & Ade Latifa & Dewi Harfina & Devi Asiati & Bayu Setiawan & Fitranita Ibnu & Triyono Triyono & Zanterman Rajagukguk, 2023. "Challenge of Agriculture Development in Indonesia: Rural Youth Mobility and Aging Workers in Agriculture Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-15, January.
    10. Jiangsheng Chen & Gideon Bolt & Yiwen Wang & Xiaoli Feng & Xuke Li, 2021. "An Empirical Diagnosis of the School-to-Work Process for Rural and Agricultural Development in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-15, January.
    11. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yan, Jingyang & Wang, Fuhao, 2024. "Impact of population aging on food security in the context of artificial intelligence: Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    12. Mr. Emmanuel Momolu Pope & Prof. Wilson Opile & Dr. Lucas Ngode & Dr. Chepkoech Emmy, 2023. "Assessment of Upland Rice Production Constraints and Farmers’ Preferred Varieties in Liberia," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(2), pages 1307-1322, February.
    13. Wang, Jintao & Dong, Xinliang & Qiu, Rangjian & Lou, Boyuan & Tian, Liu & Chen, Pei & Zhang, Xuejia & Liu, Xiaojing & Sun, Hongyong, 2023. "Optimization of sowing date and irrigation schedule of maize in different cropping systems by APSIM for realizing grain mechanical harvesting in the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    14. Francisca Ndinda Muteti & Irine Akite & Taddias Prince Mpofu & Basil Mugonola, 2024. "Determinants of technical efficiency among smallholder upland rice farmers in northern Uganda—a Cobb–Douglas stochastic frontier approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-20, January.
    15. Felician Andrew Kitole & Justine N. Mbukwa & Felister Y. Tibamanya & Jennifer Kasanda Sesabo, 2024. "Climate change, food security, and diarrhoea prevalence nexus in Tanzania," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, December.
    16. Joohun Han & Chanjin Chung, 2021. "Impact of Aging and Underemployment on Income Disparity between Agricultural and Non-Agricultural Households," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-15, October.
    17. Quanhua Hou & Shihan Chen & Yitong Miao & Yahui Zhang & Su Chen & Xiaoyang Fan & Yaqiong Duan & Lingda Zhang, 2023. "Management and Control of Agricultural Production Space in the Yanhe River Basin Based on Peasant Household Behavior," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-20, May.

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