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Research on the Impact of Expressway on the County Economy Based on a Spatial DID Model: The Case of Three Provinces of China

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  • Xueming Xu
  • Changping Liu

Abstract

Infrastructure construction results in transportation cost and regional economy changes. Based on the exogenous infrastructure change of a county highway opening as a natural experiment, this paper uses the spatial difference-in-differences (DID) model to analyze the impact of highway construction in three different provinces of China from 2004 to 2017. It was proved that highway connectivity had no significant or negative impact on the economy of the counties in three provinces that the highway passes through. In addition, highway connectivity was claimed to have obvious spatial spillover effects, which could promote the economic development of the whole region. For counties belonging to provinces in different regions and stages of economic development, we establish a spatial DID model that integrates time and space dimensions to study the impact of expressways on county economic development, to make up for the traditional DID model’s dependence on SUTVA assumptions, and to obtain spatial spillover effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Xueming Xu & Changping Liu, 2021. "Research on the Impact of Expressway on the County Economy Based on a Spatial DID Model: The Case of Three Provinces of China," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-13, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnlmpe:4028236
    DOI: 10.1155/2021/4028236
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    Cited by:

    1. Chao Tu & Yingfang Shi, 2023. "Market-Incentive Environmental Regulation and the Quality of Corporate Innovation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-17, March.
    2. Peng Zhang & Yuge Wang & Zhengjun Yu & Xiong Shao & Heap-Yih Chong, 2024. "Analysis of the Spatio-Temporal Differences and Structural Evolution of Xizang’s County Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-15, September.
    3. Min Su & Miaomiao Guo & Weixin Luan & Feng Pian, 2023. "The Impact of Expressway Development on Industrial Structure in Rugged Terrain: The Case of Sichuan Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-16, May.

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