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Regional Tourism Economic Forecasting Model Based on GM Grey Forecasting Method

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  • Bin Li
  • Jing Gao
  • Hangjun Che

Abstract

On the basis of regional tourism economic development, this paper uses the entropy method and the coupling coordination model to analyse the comprehensive development level and the degree of coupling coordination between tourism and regional development and uses the GM (1, 1) grey prediction model to forecast the degree of coupling coordination between tourism and regional development in China in the next five years, based on the data related to tourism and regional development in China from 1996 to 2015. The results show that the degree of coupling and coordination between tourism and regional development is steadily increasing, with the coupling level moving from low level coupling to antagonistic stage and the coupling coordination level reaching from low level disorder to good level coordination.

Suggested Citation

  • Bin Li & Jing Gao & Hangjun Che, 2022. "Regional Tourism Economic Forecasting Model Based on GM Grey Forecasting Method," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-9, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnlmpe:3477246
    DOI: 10.1155/2022/3477246
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    Cited by:

    1. Yuqing Geng & Hongwei Zhu & Renjun Zhu, 2022. "Coupling Coordination between Cultural Heritage Protection and Tourism Development: The Case of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-22, November.
    2. Liyan Sun & Zhuoying Wang & Li Yang, 2023. "Research on the Dynamic Coupling and Coordination of Science and Technology Innovation and Sustainable Development in Anhui Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-22, February.

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