Optimal Capacity Allocation of Energy Storage System considering Uncertainty of Load and Wind Generation

Energy storage systems (ESSs) are promising solutions for the mitigation of power fluctuations and the management of load demands in distribution networks (DNs). However, the uncertainty of load demands and wind generations (WGs) may have a significant impact on the capacity allocation of ESSs. To solve the problem, a novel optimal ESS capacity allocation scheme for ESSs is proposed to reduce the influence of uncertainty of both WG and load demands. First, an optimal capacity allocation model is established to minimize the ESS investment costs and the network power loss under constraints of DN and ESS operating points and power balance. Then, the proposed method reduces the uncertainty of load through a comprehensive demand response system based on time-of-use (TOU) and incentives. To predict the output of WGs, we combined particle swarm optimization (PSO) and backpropagation neural network to create a prediction model of the wind power. An improved simulated annealing PSO algorithm (ISAPSO) is used to solve the optimization problem. Numerical studies are carried out in a modified IEEE 33-node distribution system. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model can provide the optimal capacity allocation and investment cost of ESSs with minimal power losses.