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Dependence and Risk Spillover among Hedging Assets: Evidence from Bitcoin, Gold, and USD

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  • Jiang Yu
  • Yue Shang
  • Xiafei Li
  • Dehua Shen

Abstract

Understanding the dependence and risk spillover among hedging assets is crucial for portfolio allocation and regulatory decision making. Using various copula and conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) measures, this paper quantifies the dependence and risk spillover effects between three traditional and emerging hedging assets: Bitcoin, gold, and USD. Furthermore, we investigate these effects at various short- and long-term horizons using a variational model decomposition (VMD) method. The empirical results show that there is strong negative dependence between gold and USD, but Bitcoin and gold are weakly and positively connected. Secondly, risk spillovers exist only between Bitcoin and gold and between gold and USD. The risk spillover effect between Bitcoin and gold are not stable, that is, if Bitcoin or gold faces the downward or upward risk, both the downward and upward risk of another asset have the chance to increase. The negative risk spillover between gold and USD is stable, especially in long-term horizons. Finally, the risk spillover between Bitcoin and gold as well as between gold and USD are asymmetric at downward and upward market environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiang Yu & Yue Shang & Xiafei Li & Dehua Shen, 2021. "Dependence and Risk Spillover among Hedging Assets: Evidence from Bitcoin, Gold, and USD," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-20, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnddns:2010705
    DOI: 10.1155/2021/2010705
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    Cited by:

    1. Jingjing Li & Xinge Rao & Xianyi Li & Sihai Guan, 2022. "Gold and Bitcoin Optimal Portfolio Research and Analysis Based on Machine-Learning Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-12, November.

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