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Temperature Forecasting via Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks Based on Time-Series Data

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  • Zao Zhang
  • Yuan Dong

Abstract

Today, artificial intelligence and deep neural networks have been successfully used in many applications that have fundamentally changed people’s lives in many areas. However, very limited research has been done in the meteorology area, where meteorological forecasts still rely on simulations via extensive computing resources. In this paper, we propose an approach to using the neural network to forecast the future temperature according to the past temperature values. Specifically, we design a convolutional recurrent neural network (CRNN) model that is composed of convolution neural network (CNN) portion and recurrent neural network (RNN) portion. The model can learn the time correlation and space correlation of temperature changes from historical data through neural networks. To evaluate the proposed CRNN model, we use the daily temperature data of mainland China from 1952 to 2018 as training data. The results show that our model can predict future temperature with an error around 0.907°C.

Suggested Citation

  • Zao Zhang & Yuan Dong, 2020. "Temperature Forecasting via Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks Based on Time-Series Data," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-8, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:hin:complx:3536572
    DOI: 10.1155/2020/3536572
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Xu & Huang, Tao & Wang, Chunping & Zeng, Chunhua, 2023. "The temporal correlation of fluctuation–variation in the non-stationary complex climate system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
    2. Ahmed M. Elshewey & Mahmoud Y. Shams & Abdelghafar M. Elhady & Samaa M. Shohieb & Abdelaziz A. Abdelhamid & Abdelhameed Ibrahim & Zahraa Tarek, 2022. "A Novel WD-SARIMAX Model for Temperature Forecasting Using Daily Delhi Climate Dataset," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    3. Shuaihua Shen & Yanxuan Du & Zhengjie Xu & Xiaoqiang Qin & Jian Chen, 2023. "Temperature Prediction Based on STOA-SVR Rolling Adaptive Optimization Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-22, July.

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