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China-2025: Research and Innovation Landscape

Author

Listed:
  • Epaminondas Christofilopoulos

    (PRAXI Network/ Foundation for Research and Technology Hellas (Greece))

  • Stavros Mantzanakis

    (EMETRIS SA; Phemonoe Lab (Greece))

Abstract

As the second largest economy globally, China today is one of the drivers for changing the balance of forces worldwide. The country aims to become a global player on the high-tech product market, move from an investment-based to a knowledge-based economy, and become the largest consumer market globally attractive to other major international players, including the European Union. Aware of this trend, the European Commission initiated a foresight study to assess the future of science and innovation in China until 2025, the results of which we present in this paper. The foresight study’s objective was to identify Research and Innovation (R&I) priority areas and their development by 2025, aiming to contribute to the bilateral dialogue between the EU and China with the ultimate goal of a long-term cooperation strategy. Through a combination of desk-study analysis, a delphi study, media scanning, crowd-sourcing platform, and a cross impact analysis, we analysed 16 critical drivers that play a substantial role in transforming China’s R&I landscape. The study showed a correlation between the different factors, and highlighted the strong impact of governance and the national economy on future developments. Taking into account these drivers and some critical uncertainties, we developed four plausible scenarios up to the year 2025. Being aware of these possible scenarios allows us to prepare in advance and establish a successful strategy for the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Epaminondas Christofilopoulos & Stavros Mantzanakis, 2016. "China-2025: Research and Innovation Landscape," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 10(3), pages 7-16.
    • Handle: RePEc:hig:fsight:v:10:y:2016:i:3:p:7-16
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sandro Mendonca & Miguel Pina e Cunha & Jari Kaivo-oja & Frank Ruff, 2003. "Wild cards, weak signals and organizational improvisation," Nova SBE Working Paper Series wp432, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics.
    2. Peng Gong, 2012. "Cultural history holds back Chinese research," Nature, Nature, vol. 481(7382), pages 411-411, January.
    3. Fu, Junying & Frietsch, Rainer & Tagscherer, Ulrike, 2013. "Publication activity in the Science Citation Index Expanded (SCIE) database in the context of Chinese science and technology policy from 1977 to 2012," Discussion Papers "Innovation Systems and Policy Analysis" 35, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; science; research and development (R&D); technology; innovation; trends; scenarios;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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