Measurement and Evaluation of the Modernization Development Level of Higher Education in China: Based on Panel Data Analysis of 31 Provinces from 2012 to 2022

The scale and quality of higher education are key indicators of a country’s development level and its potential for future growth. This study utilizes literature analysis and the core functions of higher education institutions to construct an evaluation index system for the modernization level of higher education in China, using data from 2012 to 2022. The results reveal the following: (1) From 2012 to 2022, the modernization level of higher education across China’s 31 provinces generally increased, despite some fluctuations. Beijing consistently maintained the highest level of modernization, while Hainan demonstrated the fastest growth rate. (2) The modernization level of higher education exhibited uneven distribution across the provinces: eleven provinces were at a low level, eight at a moderate level, eight at a relatively high level, and four at a high level. (3) The development level of higher education modernization shows a clear correlation with geographic location and economic development, characterized by a distinct ‘high in the east, low in the west’ pattern. (4) There is a urgent need to enhance the internationalization of higher education development in China. (5) The overall index of higher education development in China displayed a slow decline with fluctuations from 2012 to 2022, reflecting ongoing efforts toward balanced development across the 31 provinces and cities. The most significant disparities in higher education development remain between the western and eastern regions.