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Modeling and Analysis of the Impact of Risk Culture on Human Behavior during a Catastrophic Event

Author

Listed:
  • Valentina Lanza

    (LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France)

  • Damienne Provitolo

    (Université Côte d’Azur, CNRS, Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur, IRD, Géoazur, UMR 7329, 06300 Valbonne, France)

  • Nathalie Verdière

    (LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France)

  • Cyrille Bertelle

    (LITIS, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France)

  • Edwige Dubos-Paillard

    (Géographie-Cités UMR 8504, Université Paris 1, Panthéon-Sorbonne, 75005 Paris, France)

  • Oscar Navarro

    (Laboratoire de Psychologie des Pays de la Loire, Université de Nantes, 44000 Nantes, France
    Current address: UPR CHROME (EA 7352), Université de Nîmes, 30021 Nîmes, France.)

  • Rodolphe Charrier

    (LITIS, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France)

  • Irmand Mikiela

    (LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France)

  • Moulay Aziz-Alaoui

    (LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France)

  • Abdel Halim Boudoukha

    (Laboratoire de Psychologie des Pays de la Loire, Université de Nantes, 44000 Nantes, France)

  • Anne Tricot

    (ESPACE, Aix-Marseille-Univ, CNRS, Université Côte d’Azur, Avignon Université, 84029 Avignon, France)

  • Alexandra Schleyer-Lindenmann

    (ESPACE, Aix-Marseille-Univ, CNRS, Université Côte d’Azur, Avignon Université, 84029 Avignon, France)

  • Alexandre Berred

    (LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France)

  • Sébastien Haule

    (Géographie-Cités UMR 8504, Université Paris 1, Panthéon-Sorbonne, 75005 Paris, France)

  • Emmanuel Tric

    (Université Côte d’Azur, CNRS, Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur, IRD, Géoazur, UMR 7329, 06300 Valbonne, France)

Abstract

In a world more and more affected by natural and/or industrial disasters, it is essential to understand, analyze and control human behavior during such events. The work presented in this article is one of the results of a transdisciplinary collaboration between geographers, psychologists, mathematicians, computer scientists, operational staff and stakeholders in risk management. This collaboration made it possible to identify the diverse behavioral reactions that can occur during a disaster and to propose a categorization of these behavioral states and their transitions. These behavioral dynamics are described by the APC (Alert–Panic–Control) mathematical model, which integrates two key elements (among others) during disasters: cognition and social contagion. Several scenarios are developed, and a qualitative analysis of the model is conducted to better understand the role of crowd density and risk culture on behavioral dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Valentina Lanza & Damienne Provitolo & Nathalie Verdière & Cyrille Bertelle & Edwige Dubos-Paillard & Oscar Navarro & Rodolphe Charrier & Irmand Mikiela & Moulay Aziz-Alaoui & Abdel Halim Boudoukha & , 2023. "Modeling and Analysis of the Impact of Risk Culture on Human Behavior during a Catastrophic Event," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-27, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:14:p:11063-:d:1194567
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nathalie Verdière & Oscar Navarro & Aude Naud & Alexandre Berred & Damienne Provitolo, 2021. "Towards Parameter Identification of a Behavioral Model from a Virtual Reality Experiment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(24), pages 1-25, December.
    2. Nathalie Verdière & Edwige Dubos-Paillard & Valentina Lanza & Damienne Provitolo & Rodolphe Charrier & Cyrille Bertelle & Alexandre Berred & Anne Tricot & Moulay Aziz-Alaoui, 2023. "Study of the Effect of Rescuers and the Use of a Massive Alarm in a Population in a Disaster Situation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-23, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    1. Nathalie Verdière & Edwige Dubos-Paillard & Valentina Lanza & Damienne Provitolo & Rodolphe Charrier & Cyrille Bertelle & Alexandre Berred & Anne Tricot & Moulay Aziz-Alaoui, 2023. "Study of the Effect of Rescuers and the Use of a Massive Alarm in a Population in a Disaster Situation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-23, June.

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