IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i3p1463-d735617.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Integrated Approach for Evaluating Climate Change Risks: A Case Study in Suriname

Author

Listed:
  • Helena Antich-Homar

    (Meteoclim, Parc BIT, Sophie Germain sn, Lleret Bulding, 07121 Palma, Spain)

  • Katharina Hess

    (Climate Protection in Transport, Ministry of Transport Baden-Württemberg, 70173 Stuttgart, Germany)

  • Kepa Solaun

    (School of Sciences, Universidad de Navarra, Campus Universitario, 31080 Pamplona, Spain
    Global Factor, Colón de Larreátegui, 26, Planta 1, 48009 Bilbao, Spain)

  • Gerard Alleng

    (Climate Change Division, Inter-American Development Bank, New York Ave NW 1300, Washington, DC 20577, USA)

  • Adrian Flores

    (Climate Change Division, Inter-American Development Bank, New York Ave NW 1300, Washington, DC 20577, USA)

Abstract

This paper combines long-term state-of-the-art climate projections and indices to provide detailed insights into the future climate of Suriname to facilitate comprehensive information of areas and sectors at high climate risk for political decision-making. The study analyses Suriname’s historical climate (1990–2014) and provides climate projections for three time horizons (2020–2044, 2045–2069, 2070–2094) and two emissions scenarios (intermediate/SSP2-4.5 and severe/SSP5-8.5). Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) modeling is used to analyze changes in sea level, temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, and winds. In addition, risk impact chains were produced for the country’s four most important socio-economic sectors: agriculture and fisheries, forestry, water, and infrastructure. Results show the temperature is expected to increase for all regions and timeframes, reaching warming up to 6 °C in the southern region in the long-term future (2070–2094). Projections point towards a reduction in precipitation in the southwest and coastal regions and a rise in mean sea level. Regarding risk, Paramaribo and Wanica face the highest climate risk. Coronie and Nickerie face the least climate risk. These regions remain the most and least vulnerable in both the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, but overall values of their risk indices increase substantially over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Helena Antich-Homar & Katharina Hess & Kepa Solaun & Gerard Alleng & Adrian Flores, 2022. "An Integrated Approach for Evaluating Climate Change Risks: A Case Study in Suriname," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-21, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:3:p:1463-:d:735617
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/3/1463/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/3/1463/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jan Petzold & Alexandre K. Magnan, 2019. "Climate change: thinking small islands beyond Small Island Developing States (SIDS)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 152(1), pages 145-165, January.
    2. Stacy-ann Robinson, 2017. "Climate change adaptation trends in small island developing states," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 669-691, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stacy‐ann Robinson, 2020. "Climate change adaptation in SIDS: A systematic review of the literature pre and post the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(4), July.
    2. Cristina Mateus & Melanie Valencia & Kara DiFrancesco & Valeria Ochoa-Herrera & Todd Gartner & Diego Quiroga, 2020. "Governance Mechanisms and Barriers for Achieving Water Quality Improvements in Galapagos," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-24, October.
    3. Stacy-ann Robinson & Conall Butchart, 2022. "Planning for Climate Change in Small Island Developing States: Can Dominica’s Climate Resilience and Recovery Plan Be a Model for Transformation in the Caribbean?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, April.
    4. Mehdi Hafezi & Oz Sahin & Rodney A. Stewart & Brendan Mackey, 2018. "Creating a Novel Multi-Layered Integrative Climate Change Adaptation Planning Approach Using a Systematic Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-30, November.
    5. Pramod K. Singh & Konstantinos Papageorgiou & Harpalsinh Chudasama & Elpiniki I. Papageorgiou, 2019. "Evaluating the Effectiveness of Climate Change Adaptations in the World’s Largest Mangrove Ecosystem," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-17, November.
    6. Carmelo J. Leon & Yen E. Lam González & Giovanni Ruggieri & Patrizia Calò, 2022. "Assessing Climate Change Adaptation and Risk Management Programmes: Stakeholder Participation Process and Policy Implications for Transport, Energy and Tourism Sectors on the Island of Sicily," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-21, July.
    7. Kevin Grecksch & Carola Klöck, 2020. "Access and allocation in climate change adaptation," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 271-286, June.
    8. Carè, R. & Weber, O., 2023. "How much finance is in climate finance? A bibliometric review, critiques, and future research directions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    9. Preeya S. Mohan, 2023. "Financing needs to achieve Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement in Caribbean Small Island Developing States," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 28(5), pages 1-24, June.
    10. Jessica Rodríguez‐Pereira & Burcu Balcik & Marie‐Ève Rancourt & Gilbert Laporte, 2021. "A Cost‐Sharing Mechanism for Multi‐Country Partnerships in Disaster Preparedness," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(12), pages 4541-4565, December.
    11. Meenakshi Shankar Poti & Jean Huge & Kartik Shanker & Nico Koedam & Farid Dahdouh-Guebas, 2022. "Learning from small islands in the Western Indian Ocean (WIO): A systematic review of responses to environmental change," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/346937, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    12. Simron Jit. Singh & Marina Fischer-Kowalski & Marian Chertow, 2020. "Introduction: The Metabolism of Islands," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-8, November.
    13. Selbonne, S. & Guindé, L. & Belmadani, A. & Bonine, C. & L. Causeret, F. & Duval, M. & Sierra, J. & Blazy, J.M., 2022. "Designing scenarios for upscaling climate-smart agriculture on a small tropical island," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    14. Neiler Medina & Yared Abayneh Abebe & Arlex Sanchez & Zoran Vojinovic, 2020. "Assessing Socioeconomic Vulnerability after a Hurricane: A Combined Use of an Index-Based approach and Principal Components Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-31, February.
    15. Zhang, Dayong & Managi, Shunsuke, 2020. "Financial development, natural disasters, and economics of the Pacific small island states," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 168-181.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:3:p:1463-:d:735617. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.