IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i21p13757-d951509.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Simulation Analysis of Factors Affecting Energy Carbon Emissions in Fujian Province

Author

Listed:
  • Xianjin Lin

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Xiaoyan Lin

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Jun Zhang

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Qionge He

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

  • Pengyu Yan

    (School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

Abstract

China’s goal of reaching peak carbon by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060 has been a popular research topic in recent years. Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals are solemn commitments made by the Chinese government to the international community. As a national ecological civilization demonstration area, Fujian province has incorporated peak carbon and carbon neutrality into its overall ecological construction plans. This paper uses the scalable stochastic environmental impact assessment model STIRPAT to quantitatively analyze the relationship between carbon emission intensity and economy, population, energy intensity, energy structure, and industrial structure in Fujian Province from 2001 to 2020, and it uses a Markov transition matrix to predict the ratio of energy structure in the next four years. On the basis of the above-mentioned research, combined with the provincial ecological planning outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan of Fujian Province, three development modes (i.e., the general mode, the energy-saving mode, and the energy consumption mode) are proposed. Finally, according to the model, this paper predicts that the carbon intensity goal of 2025 can be achieved under the general and energy saving modes, while the carbon intensity goal cannot be reached under the energy consumption mode.

Suggested Citation

  • Xianjin Lin & Xiaoyan Lin & Jun Zhang & Qionge He & Pengyu Yan, 2022. "Simulation Analysis of Factors Affecting Energy Carbon Emissions in Fujian Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-10, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:13757-:d:951509
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/13757/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/13757/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shi, Anqing, 2003. "The impact of population pressure on global carbon dioxide emissions, 1975-1996: evidence from pooled cross-country data," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 29-42, February.
    2. de Freitas, Luciano Charlita & Kaneko, Shinji, 2011. "Decomposing the decoupling of CO2 emissions and economic growth in Brazil," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(8), pages 1459-1469, June.
    3. Poumanyvong, Phetkeo & Kaneko, Shinji, 2010. "Does urbanization lead to less energy use and lower CO2 emissions? A cross-country analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 434-444, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Qingquan Jiang & Jinhuang Lin & Qianqian Wei & Rui Zhang & Hongzhen Fu, 2023. "Demystifying the Economic Growth and CO 2 Nexus in Fujian’s Key Industries Based on Decoupling and LMDI Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-23, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liddle, Brantley, 2013. "Population, Affluence, and Environmental Impact Across Development: Evidence from Panel Cointegration Modeling," MPRA Paper 52088, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Zhonghua Cheng & Xiaowen Hu, 2023. "The effects of urbanization and urban sprawl on CO2 emissions in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 1792-1808, February.
    3. Li, Kunming & Fang, Liting & He, Lerong, 2019. "How population and energy price affect China's environmental pollution?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 386-396.
    4. Acheampong, Alex O., 2019. "Modelling for insight: Does financial development improve environmental quality?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 156-179.
    5. Setareh Katircioglu, 2022. "Estimating the role of urban development in environment quality: Evidence from G7 countries," Energy & Environment, , vol. 33(2), pages 283-314, March.
    6. Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Boachie, Micheal Kofi, 2020. "The environmental impact of industrialization and foreign direct investment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Poumanyvong, Phetkeo & Kaneko, Shinji & Dhakal, Shobhakar, 2012. "Impacts of urbanization on national transport and road energy use: Evidence from low, middle and high income countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 268-277.
    8. Castells-Quintana, David & Dienesch, Elisa & Krause, Melanie, 2021. "Air pollution in an urban world: A global view on density, cities and emissions," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    9. Shao, Shuai & Yang, Lili & Yu, Mingbo & Yu, Mingliang, 2011. "Estimation, characteristics, and determinants of energy-related industrial CO2 emissions in Shanghai (China), 1994-2009," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 6476-6494, October.
    10. Anderson, Blake & M'Gonigle, Michael, 2012. "Does ecological economics have a future?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 37-48.
    11. Fang, Wen Shwo & Miller, Stephen M. & Yeh, Chih-Chuan, 2012. "The effect of ESCOs on energy use," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 558-568.
    12. Yannan Zhou & Jixia Huang & Mingxiang Huang & Yicheng Lin, 2019. "The Driving Forces of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent Emissions Have Spatial Spillover Effects in Inner Mongolia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-14, May.
    13. Shafiei, Sahar & Salim, Ruhul A., 2014. "Non-renewable and renewable energy consumption and CO2 emissions in OECD countries: A comparative analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 547-556.
    14. Yu Sang Chang & Sung Jun Jo & Yoo-Taek Lee & Yoonji Lee, 2021. "Population Density or Populations Size. Which Factor Determines Urban Traffic Congestion?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-21, April.
    15. Yang, Yingchun & Liu, Jianghua & Lin, Yingying & Li, Qiongyuan, 2019. "The impact of urbanization on China’s residential energy consumption," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 170-182.
    16. Wang, Qiang & Lin, Jian & Zhou, Kan & Fan, Jie & Kwan, Mei-Po, 2020. "Does urbanization lead to less residential energy consumption? A comparative study of 136 countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    17. Xiao, Huijuan & Duan, Zhiyuan & Zhou, Ya & Zhang, Ning & Shan, Yuli & Lin, Xiyan & Liu, Guosheng, 2019. "CO2 emission patterns in shrinking and growing cities: A case study of Northeast China and the Yangtze River Delta," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    18. Haitao Zheng & Jie Hu & Rong Guan & Shanshan Wang, 2016. "Examining Determinants of CO 2 Emissions in 73 Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-17, December.
    19. Doğan, Buhari & Ferraz, Diogo & Gupta, Monika & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Shahzadi, Irum, 2022. "Exploring the effects of import diversification on energy efficiency: Evidence from the OECD economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 639-650.
    20. Fatemeh Dehdar & Nuno Silva & José Alberto Fuinhas & Matheus Koengkan & Nazia Nazeer, 2022. "The Impact of Technology and Government Policies on OECD Carbon Dioxide Emissions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-17, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:21:p:13757-:d:951509. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.