IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i20p13587-d948413.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Novel Integrated PCA-DEA-IMF SWARA-CRADIS Model for Evaluating the Impact of FDI on the Sustainability of the Economic System

Author

Listed:
  • Vitomir Starčević

    (Faculty of Business Economics, University of East Sarajevo, Semberskih Ratara bb, 76300 Bijeljina, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Vesna Petrović

    (Faculty of Business Economics, University of East Sarajevo, Semberskih Ratara bb, 76300 Bijeljina, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Ivan Mirović

    (Faculty of Business Economics, University of East Sarajevo, Semberskih Ratara bb, 76300 Bijeljina, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Ljiljana Ž. Tanasić

    (Faculty of Economics—Brčko, University of East Sarajevo, Studentska 11, 76100 Brčko, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Željko Stević

    (Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, University of East Sarajevo, Vojvode Mišića 52, 74000 Doboj, Bosnia and Herzegovina)

  • Jadranka Đurović Todorović

    (Faculty of Economics, University of Niš, Trg Kralja Aleksandra Ujedinitelja, 18000 Niš, Serbia)

Abstract

Today’s economic systems are, on the one hand, exposed to various risks and uncertainties with their trends changing almost daily, while on the other hand, they represent an extremely complex system with a large number of sustainable influential parameters. The challenge is to model macroeconomic parameters and achieve sustainability, yet also satisfy conflict situations with an increased level of uncertainty. The aim of this paper is to create an appropriate functional model by examining the mutual influence of various macroeconomic factors. It assesses a total of four scenarios considering mutual influences of: FDI (foreign direct investments), GDP (gross domestic product), imports, exports, inflation rate, RER (real exchange rate) and employment rate as defined parameters. First, the DEA (Data envelopment analysis) model was applied to determine the initial efficiency of two countries, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH) and Serbia, for the period 2005–2020. Then, PCA (Principal Component Analysis) was applied in combination with DEA to obtain more precise values. In addition, IMF SWARA (Improved Fuzzy Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis) was applied to define weight coefficients of macro-economic parameters. Finally, the CRADIS (compromise ranking of alternatives from distance to ideal solution) model was applied for the final ranking of part of decision-making units. This developed, integrated model can be classified as a mathematical method for economic analysis and gives extended opportunities for solving different problems. The results show that 2009, 2013 and 2016 were the most favorable years in terms of the conditions set when it comes to Bosnia and Herzegovina, and 2012, 2014 and 2016 when it comes to Serbia. These years have been singled out and can be a benchmark for further handling and modeling of macroeconomic elements. In addition, correlation was tested using statistical coefficients.

Suggested Citation

  • Vitomir Starčević & Vesna Petrović & Ivan Mirović & Ljiljana Ž. Tanasić & Željko Stević & Jadranka Đurović Todorović, 2022. "A Novel Integrated PCA-DEA-IMF SWARA-CRADIS Model for Evaluating the Impact of FDI on the Sustainability of the Economic System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-20, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:20:p:13587-:d:948413
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/20/13587/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/20/13587/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Balasubramanyam, V N & Salisu, M & Sapsford, David, 1996. "Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in EP and IS Countries," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(434), pages 92-105, January.
    2. Borensztein, E. & De Gregorio, J. & Lee, J-W., 1998. "How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth?1," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 115-135, June.
    3. V. N. Balasubramanyam & M. A. Salisu & David Sapsford, 1996. "Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Policy and Economic Growth," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: V. N. Balasubramanyam & D. Greenaway (ed.), Trade and Development, chapter 1, pages 3-21, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. Bende-Nabende, A. & Ford, J. L., 1998. "FDI, Policy Adjustment and Endogenous Growth: Multiplier Effects from a Small Dynamic Model for Taiwan, 1959-1995," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1315-1330, July.
    5. Ms. Elina Ribakova & Mr. Balázs Horváth & Mr. Dimitri G Demekas & Mr. Yi Wu, 2005. "Foreign Direct Investment in Southeastern Europe: How (and How Much) Can Policies Help?," IMF Working Papers 2005/110, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Grossman, Gene M. & Helpman, Elhanan, 1991. "Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(2-3), pages 517-526, April.
    7. Griffin, Keith B & Enos, J L, 1970. "Foreign Assistance: Objectives and Consequences," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 18(3), pages 313-327, April.
    8. Adler, Nicole & Yazhemsky, Ekaterina, 2010. "Improving discrimination in data envelopment analysis: PCA-DEA or variable reduction," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 273-284, April.
    9. V N Balasubramanyam & M Salisu & David Sapsford, "undated". "Foreign Direct Investment and Growth: New Hypotheses and Evidence," Working Papers ec7/96, Department of Economics, University of Lancaster.
    10. Barry P. Bosworth & Susan M. Collins, 1999. "Capital Flows to Developing Economies: Implications for Saving and Investment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 30(1), pages 143-180.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mouhamed Bayane Bouraima & Nyamatari Anselem Tengecha & Željko Stević & Vladimir Simić & Yanjun Qiu, 2024. "An integrated fuzzy MCDM model for prioritizing strategies for successful implementation and operation of the bus rapid transit system," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 342(1), pages 141-172, November.
    2. Phi-Hung Nguyen & Thi-Ly Nguyen & Hong-Quan Le & Thuy-Quynh Pham & Hoang-Anh Nguyen & Chi-Vinh Pham, 2023. "How Does the Competitiveness Index Promote Foreign Direct Investment at the Provincial Level in Vietnam? An Integrated Grey Delphi–DEA Model Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-30, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Samuel Adams & Edem Kwame Mensah Klobodu & Richmond Odartey Lamptey, 2017. "The Effects of Capital Flows on Economic Growth in Senegal," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 11(2), pages 121-142, May.
    2. Orhan Gokmen, 2021. "The Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: A Case of Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(7), pages 1-85, June.
    3. Thierry Mayer, 2006. "Policy Coherence for Development: A Background Paper on Foreign Direct Investment," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 253, OECD Publishing.
    4. Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Ye,Lei Sandy & Islamaj,Ergys, 2017. "Weakness in investment growth : causes, implications and policy responses," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7990, The World Bank.
    5. He, Jie & Roland-Holst, David, 2004. "Chinese Growth and Atmospheric Pollution: An Empirical Assessment of Challenges and Opportunities," Conference papers 331279, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. repec:kqi:journl:2018-2-1-3 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Lewis Davis & Claudia R. Williamson, 2018. "Open Borders for Business? Causes and Consequences of the Regulation of Foreign Entry," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(2), pages 508-536, October.
    8. Ionel Sergiu Pirju & Gabriela Marchis & Manuela Panaitescu & Nicolae Florin Prunău & Alisa Mihaela Ambrozie, 2023. "Foreign Direct Investments—A Perspective of Sustainability: Evidence from the Austrian and German Labor Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-18, September.
    9. Tamás Krisztin & Philipp Piribauer, 2021. "A Bayesian spatial autoregressive logit model with an empirical application to European regional FDI flows," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 231-257, July.
    10. Benzaim, Samia & Ftiti, Zied & Khedhaouria, Anis & Djermane, Rebai, 2023. "US foreign investments: Technology transfer, relative backwardness, and the productivity growth of host countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 275-295.
    11. Kottaridi, Constantina & Stengos, Thanasis, 2010. "Foreign direct investment, human capital and non-linearities in economic growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 858-871, September.
    12. Mohamad A. Abou Hamia, 2022. "What level of international technology should developing countries transfer to sustain their economic growth?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4217-4239, December.
    13. Sabina Silajdzic & Eldin Mehic, 2016. "Absorptive Capabilities, FDI, and Economic Growth in Transition Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(4), pages 904-922, April.
    14. Zahra Zamani & Seyed Komail Tayebi, 2022. "Spillover effects of trade and foreign direct investment on economic growth: an implication for sustainable development," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 3967-3981, March.
    15. Naijela Janaina Costa Silveira & Diogo Ferraz & Eduardo Polloni‐Silva & Diego Scarpa de Mello & Fernanda Pereira Sartori Falguera & Herick Fernando Moralles, 2022. "Modeling the building blocks of country‐level absorptive capacity: Comparing developed and emergent economies," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 783-824, July.
    16. Jen‐Chung Mei, 2023. "Foreign direct investment and relative capacity: Theory and evidence," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(4), pages 1175-1214, October.
    17. Shankar Gimire & Kul Kapri & Md Rajib-Ur Rahman, 2018. "Imitate or Innovate? FDI, Technology, and Income Levels in Middle Income Countries," Journal of Development Innovations, KarmaQuest International, vol. 2(1), pages 1-13, May.
    18. Mohammad I. Elian & Nabeel Sawalha & Ahmed Bani-Mustafa, 2020. "Revisiting the FDI–Growth Nexus: ARDL Bound Test for BRICS Standalone Economies," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(6), pages 1-1, June.
    19. Igan, Deniz & Kutan, Ali M. & Mirzaei, Ali, 2020. "The real effects of capital inflows in emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    20. James Temitope Dada & Ezekiel Olamide Abanikanda, 2022. "The moderating effect of institutions in foreign direct investment led growth hypothesis in Nigeria," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 903-929, May.
    21. Mongi Chebli & Kais Saidi, 2024. "Economic Growth in Middle-Income Countries: The Role of Political Stability and Foreign Direct Investment," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 22(3), pages 641-665, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:20:p:13587-:d:948413. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.