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Risk Assessment Model Based on Set Pair Analysis Applied to Airport Bird Strikes

Author

Listed:
  • Rui Wang

    (School of Electronic Information and Automation, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Qiang Zhao

    (School of Electronic Information and Automation, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Hui Sun

    (School of Electronic Information and Automation, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Xuedong Zhang

    (School of Electronic Information and Automation, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China)

  • Yuyue Wang

    (Tianjin Binhai International Airport Co., Ltd., Tianjin 300300, China)

Abstract

In order to comprehensively evaluate the risk of bird strike at airports and effectively prevent the occurrence of bird strike events, this paper constructs the risk assessment index system of airport bird strike from five perspectives of “personnel-bird-equipment-environment-management”. For the purpose of maximizing variances, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the entropy weight method are combined and used to obtain the comprehensive weights. The five-element connection number of Set Pair Analysis (SPA) is introduced to establish the identical-discrepancy-contrary airport bird strike risk assessment model, and the risk trend is analyzed according to the partial connection number for each order. The experiment results show that the combined weighting method can minimize the weight deviation and demonstrate good accuracy in determining the weights of indicators at all levels. The established airport bird strike risk assessment model can reasonably predict the risk trend, which is significant for airport personnel to carry out bird strike prevention works.

Suggested Citation

  • Rui Wang & Qiang Zhao & Hui Sun & Xuedong Zhang & Yuyue Wang, 2022. "Risk Assessment Model Based on Set Pair Analysis Applied to Airport Bird Strikes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-14, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:19:p:12877-:d:937202
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Quan Shao & Yan Zhou & Pei Zhu & Yan Ma & Mengxue Shao, 2020. "Key Factors Assessment on Bird Strike Density Distribution in Airport Habitats: Spatial Heterogeneity and Geographically Weighted Regression Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-16, September.
    2. John Allan, 2006. "A Heuristic Risk Assessment Technique for Birdstrike Management at Airports," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(3), pages 723-729, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aorui Bi & Shuya Huang & Xinguo Sun, 2023. "Risk Assessment of Oil and Gas Pipeline Based on Vague Set-Weighted Set Pair Analysis Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, January.
    2. Zaihai Wu & Zhaojun Qi & Yunpeng Kou & Zheng Li & Guoyan Zhao & Weizhang Liang, 2022. "Application of Extended Set Pair Analysis on Wear Risk Evaluation of Backfill Pipeline," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-17, November.

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