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Restrictive Effects of Water Scarcity on Urban Economic Development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei City Region

Author

Listed:
  • Yuanjie Li

    (School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China)

  • Zhuoying Zhang

    (Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
    Key Laboratory of Management, Decision and Information Systems, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China)

  • Minjun Shi

    (School of Public Affairs, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China)

Abstract

This study provides a scientific assessment of water scarcity in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) city region and investigates its restrictive effects on urban economic development by quantifying economic loss caused by water scarcity based on an input–output optimization model. The results show that the water scarcity reflected by shadow prices has significant sectoral and regional heterogeneities. Southern Hebei faces the most severe water scarcity in the BTH city region and the situation is worsening. Water scarcity is shown to have a negative impact on the economy of the BTH city region that amounts to CNY 270.02 billion. Hebei has the largest potential economic loss caused by water scarcity, especially in southern Hebei, the potential GDP (gross domestic product) of which is decreased by 6.2%. This study also points out that the water scarcity in the BTH city region is underestimated in terms of actual water prices, and the scarcity of agricultural water use is mostly underestimated. The results contribute to a deeper understanding of the restrictive impact of water scarcity on regional economic development, and thus provide a scientific reference for policymaking in the BTH city region.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanjie Li & Zhuoying Zhang & Minjun Shi, 2019. "Restrictive Effects of Water Scarcity on Urban Economic Development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei City Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-23, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:8:p:2452-:d:226026
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    2. Chen Cao & Xiaohan Lu & Xuyong Li, 2019. "Risk Assessment and Pressure Response Analysis of the Water Footprint of Agriculture and Livestock: A Case Study of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-18, July.
    3. Boyang Sun & Xiaohua Yang & Yipeng Zhang & Xiaojuan Chen, 2019. "Evaluation of Water Use Efficiency of 31 Provinces and Municipalities in China Using Multi-Level Entropy Weight Method Synthesized Indexes and Data Envelopment Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-11, August.
    4. Yang Wei & Boyang Sun, 2021. "Optimizing Water Use Structures in Resource-Based Water-Deficient Regions Using Water Resources Input–Output Analysis: A Case Study in Hebei Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-15, April.

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