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Temporal and Spatial Characteristics and Early Warning Analysis of Economic Polarization Evolution: A Case Study of Jiangsu Province in China

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  • Chen Zou

    (School of Geography, Geomatics & Planning, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Xiangjun Ou

    (School of Geography, Geomatics & Planning, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China
    Center for Urbanization Studies, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Juntao Tan

    (School of Geography, Geomatics & Planning, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China)

Abstract

Economic polarization is a special manifestation of economic disparity which intensifies the gap between the rich and the poor in a region and brings about a series of social problems. Though more and more scholars are studying the phenomenon of economic polarization, there are few studies on polarization level division and early warning analysis in the existing literature. The main purpose of this paper is to propose a standard for rationally dividing the level of economic polarization. This paper firstly analyzes the current situation of economic polarization by using the economic data of 54 counties and cities in Jiangsu Province from 2000 to 2016 and secondly predicts the economic polarization level of Jiangsu Province from 2017 to 2015 through the grey model. We find that, according to the classification criteria of polarization levels, the phenomenon of economic polarization in Jiangsu Province is both not as serious as expected and at a moderate level of alertness. The results of this study can provide important reference value for the coordinated development of Jiangsu Province.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen Zou & Xiangjun Ou & Juntao Tan, 2019. "Temporal and Spatial Characteristics and Early Warning Analysis of Economic Polarization Evolution: A Case Study of Jiangsu Province in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:5:p:1339-:d:210750
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yiheng Zhu & Shan Yang & Jinping Lin & Shanggang Yin, 2022. "Spatial and Temporal Evolutionary Characteristics and Its Influencing Factors of Economic Spatial Polarization in the Yangtze River Delta Region," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(12), pages 1-20, June.

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