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The Effect of Remittances on Poverty in the Emerging Countries of the European Union

Author

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  • Anca Mehedintu

    (Department of Statistics and Economic Informatics, University of Craiova, A.I. Cuza 13, 200585 Craiova, Romania)

  • Georgeta Soava

    (Department of Statistics and Economic Informatics, University of Craiova, A.I. Cuza 13, 200585 Craiova, Romania)

  • Mihaela Sterpu

    (Department of Mathematics, University of Craiova, A.I. Cuza 13, 200585 Craiova, Romania)

Abstract

In this paper we study the evolution of remittances and risk of poverty threshold for nine emerging countries in the European Union and analyzed the evolution and trend of the share of remittances in the risk of poverty threshold. The analysis was performed on data taken from the Eurostat database for the period 2005–2017. The statistical analysis of the data showed that the evolution of both remittances and risk of poverty threshold was heavily influenced by the global economic crisis. Although after the crisis, the risk of poverty threshold has seen a growing trend in all emerging countries, the remittances have experienced sinuous variations, dramatic declines for some of the countries (drastically for Romania and Latvia) and significant increases for others (Hungary). The results of the analysis using time-dependent regression models lead to the conclusion that, although the share of remittances in risk of poverty threshold diminished abruptly after the 2009 economic crisis, in the short term it is expected to maintain a growth trend for most of the analyzed countries (Bulgaria, Czechia, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia), followed downward tendency after 2018 for Bulgaria and Romania, and after 2020 for Hungary and Lithuania. For Latvia and Estonia, both quadratic and cubic models estimate a decreasing evolution.

Suggested Citation

  • Anca Mehedintu & Georgeta Soava & Mihaela Sterpu, 2019. "The Effect of Remittances on Poverty in the Emerging Countries of the European Union," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-14, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:12:p:3265-:d:239451
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    2. Elliott Parker, Martin Piotrowski, 2023. "Remittance patterns in Eastern Europe and the World," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 20(1), pages 71-96, June.
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    4. Esmeralda Jushi & Eglantina Hysa & Arjona Cela & Mirela Panait & Marian Catalin Voica, 2021. "Financing Growth through Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment: Evidences from Balkan Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-17, March.
    5. Titus Ayobami Ojeyinka & Cleopatra Oluseye Ibukun, 2024. "Do remittances mitigate poverty? Evidence from selected countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-28, June.
    6. Egla Mansi & Eglantina Hysa & Mirela Panait & Marian Catalin Voica, 2020. "Poverty—A Challenge for Economic Development? Evidences from Western Balkan Countries and the European Union," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-24, September.
    7. Georgeta Soava & Anca Mehedintu & Mihaela Sterpu & Mircea Raduteanu, 2020. "Impact of Employed Labor Force, Investment, and Remittances on Economic Growth in EU Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-31, December.

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