IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jrisks/v10y2022i2p43-d752591.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bank Stock Return Reactions to the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Investor Sentiment in MENA Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed Albaity

    (Department of Finance and Economics, College of Business Administration, University of Sharjah, Sharjah 27272, United Arab Emirates)

  • Ray Saadaoui Mallek

    (Department of Finance and Economics, College of Business Administration, University of Sharjah, Sharjah 27272, United Arab Emirates)

  • Hasan Mustafa

    (Business Division, Higher Colleges of Technology, Sharjah 27272, United Arab Emirates)

Abstract

In this study, we investigated the impact of COVID-19 investor sentiment (CS), number of cases (CC), and deaths (CD) on bank stock returns in 16 MENA countries. In addition, we examined the interaction effects of CS with CC and CD on bank stock returns. Lastly, we looked at whether Islamic banks outperformed conventional banks during the pandemic. Based on monthly data from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries from February 2020 to July 2021, we used the clustered standard error fixed effect estimation on Islamic and conventional bank stock market returns. The results suggest that CC and CD have negative impacts on bank stock market returns while CS has no effect, except for the lagged value. The interaction effect of CS with CC and CD on stock returns proved to strengthen the link in the current month and weaken the link in the previous month.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed Albaity & Ray Saadaoui Mallek & Hasan Mustafa, 2022. "Bank Stock Return Reactions to the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Investor Sentiment in MENA Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-15, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:10:y:2022:i:2:p:43-:d:752591
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/10/2/43/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/10/2/43/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elnahass, Marwa & Trinh, Vu Quang & Li, Teng, 2021. "Global banking stability in the shadow of Covid-19 outbreak," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predicting stock returns in the presence of COVID-19 pandemic: The role of health news," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Shen, Dehua & Urquhart, Andrew & Wang, Pengfei, 2019. "Does twitter predict Bitcoin?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 118-122.
    4. Xu, Libo, 2021. "Stock Return and the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Canada and the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    5. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Investor Herding in International Stock Markets," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-11, September.
    6. Huang, Jianbai & Li, Yingli & Zhang, Hongwei & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "The effects of uncertainty measures on commodity prices from a time-varying perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 100-114.
    7. Moazzam Farooq & Sajjad Zaheer, 2015. "Are Islamic Banks More Resilient during Financial Panics?," IMF Working Papers 2015/041, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
    9. Scott R Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J Davis & Kyle Kost & Marco Sammon & Tasaneeya Viratyosin & Jeffrey Pontiff, 0. "The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(4), pages 742-758.
    10. Driesprong, Gerben & Jacobsen, Ben & Maat, Benjamin, 2008. "Striking oil: Another puzzle?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 307-327, August.
    11. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Sun, Yunchuan & Wu, Mengyuan & Zeng, Xiaoping & Peng, Zihan, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the Chinese stock market: Sentimental or substantial?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    13. Pitlik, Hans & Rode, Martin, 2017. "Individualistic values, institutional trust, and interventionist attitudes," Journal of Institutional Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 575-598, September.
    14. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    15. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    16. Schell, Daniel & Wang, Mei & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2020. "This time is indeed different: A study on global market reactions to public health crisis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Lateef O. Akanni, 2020. "Constructing a Global Fear Index for the COVID-19 Pandemic," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(10), pages 2310-2331, August.
    18. Mohamed Albaity & Hasan Mustafa, 2018. "International and Macroeconomic Determinants of Oil Price: Evidence from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 69-81.
    19. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, April.
    20. Harjoto, Maretno Agus & Rossi, Fabrizio & Lee, Robert & Sergi, Bruno S., 2021. "How do equity markets react to COVID-19? Evidence from emerging and developed countries," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    21. Bourgain, Arnaud & Pieretti, Patrice & Zanaj, Skerdilajda, 2012. "Financial openness, disclosure and bank risk-taking in MENA countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 283-300.
    22. Moazzam Farooq & Sajjad Zaheer, 2015. "Are Islamic Banks More Resilient During Financial Panics?," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 101-124, February.
    23. Assaf, A. George & Berger, Allen N. & Roman, Raluca A. & Tsionas, Mike G., 2019. "Does efficiency help banks survive and thrive during financial crises?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 445-470.
    24. Anzoategui Diego & Martinez Peria Maria S. & Rocha Roberto R, 2010. "Bank Competition in the Middle East and Northern Africa Region," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 26-48, November.
    25. Filis, George & Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2011. "Dynamic correlation between stock market and oil prices: The case of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 152-164, June.
    26. Bakas, Dimitrios & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Commodity price volatility and the economic uncertainty of pandemics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    27. Alexakis, Christos & Pappas, Vasileios & Tsikouras, Alexandros, 2017. "Hidden cointegration reveals hidden values in Islamic investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 70-83.
    28. Demir, Ender & Danisman, Gamze Ozturk, 2021. "Banking sector reactions to COVID-19: The role of bank-specific factors and government policy responses," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    29. Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli & Pedraza, Alvaro & Ruiz-Ortega, Claudia, 2021. "Banking sector performance during the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    30. Huynh, Nhan & Dao, Anh & Nguyen, Dat, 2021. "Openness, economic uncertainty, government responses, and international financial market performance during the coronavirus pandemic," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    31. Doumpos, Michael & Hasan, Iftekhar & Pasiouras, Fotios, 2017. "Bank overall financial strength: Islamic versus conventional banks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 513-523.
    32. Kabasakal, Hayat & Bodur, Muzaffer, 2002. "Arabic cluster: a bridge between East and West," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 40-54, April.
    33. Beck, Thorsten & Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli & Merrouche, Ouarda, 2013. "Islamic vs. conventional banking: Business model, efficiency and stability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 433-447.
    34. Christos Alexakis & Vasileios Pappas & Alexandros Tsikouras, 2017. "Hidden cointegration reveals hidden values in Islamic investments," Post-Print hal-02006352, HAL.
    35. Asli Demirguk-Kunt & Thorsten Beck & Ouarda Merrouche, 2013. "Islamic Banking versus Conventional Banking: Business model, Efficiency, and Stability," Post-Print hal-01638080, HAL.
    36. Hemrit, Wael & Benlagha, Noureddine, 2021. "Does renewable energy index respond to the pandemic uncertainty?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 336-347.
    37. K.P. Prabheesh & Rakesh Padhan & Bhavesh Garg, 2021. "COVID-19 and the Oil Price – Stock Market Nexus - Evidence From Net Oil-Importing Countries," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 1(1), pages 1-4.
    38. Gamze Ozturk Danisman & Ender Demir & Adam Zaremba, 2021. "Financial Resilience To The Covid-19 Pandemic: The Role Of Banking Market Structure," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(39), pages 4481-4504, August.
    39. Ankit Sharma & Sasmita Giri & Harsh Vardhan & Sujeet Surange & Rohan Shetty & Vishwaroop Shetty, 2018. "Relationship between Crude Oil Prices and Stock Market: Evidence from India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 331-337.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Saadaoui Mallek, Ray & Albaity, Mohamed & Molyneux, Philip, 2022. "Herding behaviour heterogeneity under economic and political risks: Evidence from GCC," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 345-361.
    2. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2022. "Changes in Share Prices of Macrosector Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as a Reaction to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-18, August.
    3. Faeezah Peerbhai & Damien Kunjal, 2024. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Banking Sector Returns, Profitability, and Liquidity in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 146-151, March.
    4. Albaity, Mohamed & Shah, Syed Faisal & Al-Tamimi, Hussein A.Hassan & Rahman, Mahfuzur & Thangavelu, Shanmugam, 2023. "Country risk and bank returns: Evidence from MENA countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amal Alabbad & Andrea Schertler, 2022. "COVID-19 and bank performance in dual-banking countries: an empirical analysis," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 92(9), pages 1511-1557, November.
    2. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Wang, Wenhao & Işık, Özcan, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic impact on banking sector: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Hassan, M. Kabir & Aliyu, Sirajo, 2018. "A contemporary survey of islamic banking literature," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 12-43.
    4. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Mahi, Masnun & Hassan, M. Kabir & Bhuiyan, Abul Bashar, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on stock markets: Conventional vs. Islamic indices using wavelet-based multi-timescales analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Wong, Chin-Yoong & Eng, Yoke-Kee, 2018. "Is optimal Islamic financial contract stabilizing? The perspective of a New Keynesian model with the financial accelerator," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 121-133.
    6. Vu, Phuong Thi Thu & Huynh, Nhan & Phan, Hoa & Hoang, Hanh, 2023. "Financial earthquakes and aftershocks: From Brexit to Russia-Ukraine conflict and the stability of European banks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Risfandy, Tastaftiyan & Tarazi, Amine & Trinugroho, Irwan, 2022. "Competition in dual markets: Implications for banking system stability," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    8. Faten Ben Bouheni & Hassan Obeid & Elena Margarint, 2022. "Nonperforming loan of European Islamic banks over the economic cycle," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 773-808, June.
    9. Yomna Daoud & Aida Kammoun, 2020. "Financial Stability and Bank Capital: The Case of Islamic Banks," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 361-369.
    10. Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2016. "Business cycle and bank lending procyclicality in a dual banking system," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 127-134.
    11. Raéf Bahrini, 2017. "Efficiency Analysis of Islamic Banks in the Middle East and North Africa Region: A Bootstrap DEA Approach," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, February.
    12. Malika Akhatova & Mohd Pisal Zainal & Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2016. "Banking Models and Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in Malaysia: Are Islamic Banks Different?," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 35(2), pages 169-183, June.
    13. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Lucey, Brian, 2021. "Gold and US sectoral stocks during COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    14. Bitar, Mohammad & Pukthuanthong, Kuntara & Walker, Thomas, 2020. "Efficiency in Islamic vs. conventional banking: The role of capital and liquidity," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    15. Mumtaz Hussain & Asghar Shahmoradi & Rima Turk, 2016. "An Overview of Islamic Finance," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(01), pages 1-28, February.
    16. Naqvi, Bushra & Rizvi, S.K.A. & Uqaili, Hina Ahmed & Chaudhry, S.M., 2018. "What enables Islamic banks to contribute in global financial reintermediation?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 5-25.
    17. Ljerka Cerovic & Stella Suljic Nikolaj & Dario Maradin, 2017. "Comparative Analysis Of Conventional And Islamic Banking: Importance Of Market Regulation," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, vol. 26(1), pages 241-263, june.
    18. Šeho, Mirzet & Bacha, Obiyathulla Ismath & Smolo, Edib, 2020. "The effects of interest rate on Islamic bank financing instruments: Cross-country evidence from dual-banking systems," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Mateev, Miroslav & Bachvarov, Petko, 2021. "Regulation, ownership and bank performance in the MENA region: Evidence for Islamic and conventional banks," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    20. Demir, Ender & Danisman, Gamze Ozturk, 2021. "Banking sector reactions to COVID-19: The role of bank-specific factors and government policy responses," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:10:y:2022:i:2:p:43-:d:752591. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.