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Land Cover Change Detection in Ulaanbaatar Using the Breaks for Additive Seasonal and Trend Method

Author

Listed:
  • Narumasa Tsutsumida

    (Graduate School of Global Environmental Studies, Kyoto University, Yoshida-honmachi, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan)

  • Izuru Saizen

    (Graduate School of Global Environmental Studies, Kyoto University, Yoshida-honmachi, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan)

  • Masayuki Matsuoka

    (Natural Sciences Cluster, Kochi University, 200 Monobe-otsu, Nankoku, Kochi 783-8502, Japan)

  • Reiichiro Ishii

    (Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 3173-25 Showa-machi, Kanazawa-ku,Yokohama 236-0001, Japan)

Abstract

Ulaanbaatar, the capital of Mongolia, has expanded rapidly over the past decade. Insufficient authority is in place to address this expansion, and many residential plots have been developed in the peripheral regions of the city. The aim of this study is to estimate changes in land cover within the central part of Ulaanbaatar, which has been affected by anthropogenic disturbances. The breaks for additive seasonal and trend (BFAST) method is a powerful tool for implementing this study because it is able to robustly and automatically derive the timing and locations of land cover changes from spatio-temporal datasets. We applied the BFAST method for the first time to urban expansion analysis, with NDVI time series calculated from MODIS (MOD09A1 product) during the period 2000–2010. The results show that land cover has changed across 22.51% of the study area, and that the change occurs at a later time with increasing distance from the city center. Bi-temporal high-resolution satellite images of a sample area in 2000 and 2008 confirmed that the detection of land cover changes by BFAST corresponds to areas in which residential development is dominant. This study demonstrates that BFAST is an effective method for monitoring urban expansion. In addition, it increases the applicability of NDVI time series.

Suggested Citation

  • Narumasa Tsutsumida & Izuru Saizen & Masayuki Matsuoka & Reiichiro Ishii, 2013. "Land Cover Change Detection in Ulaanbaatar Using the Breaks for Additive Seasonal and Trend Method," Land, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-16, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:2:y:2013:i:4:p:534-549:d:29388
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Takuya Kamata & James Reichert & Tumentsogt Tsevegmid & Yoonhee Kim & Brett Sedgewick, 2010. "Managing Urban Expansion in Mongolia : Best Practices in Scenario-based Urban Planning," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2464.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gargi Chaudhuri & Kumar P. Mainali & Niti B. Mishra, 2022. "Analyzing the dynamics of urbanization in Delhi National Capital Region in India using satellite image time-series analysis," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 49(1), pages 368-384, January.
    2. Bhagawat Rimal & Lifu Zhang & Dongjie Fu & Ripu Kunwar & Yongguang Zhai, 2017. "Monitoring Urban Growth and the Nepal Earthquake 2015 for Sustainability of Kathmandu Valley, Nepal," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-23, June.

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