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FDI Inflows, Price and Exchange Rate Volatility: New Empirical Evidence from Latin America

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  • Silvia Dal Bianco

    (University College London, School of Slavonic and East European Studies, Gower St., Kings Cross, WC1E 6BT London, UK)

  • Nguyen Cong To Loan

    (USAID Governance for Inclusive Growth Program, TNR Building, 115 Tran Hung Dao St., Hoan Kiem Dist., 10000 Hanoi, Vietnam)

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of price and real exchange rate volatility on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in a panel of 10 Latin American and Caribbean countries, observed between 1990 and 2012. Both price and exchange rate volatility series are estimated through the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model (GARCH). Our results obtained, employing the Fixed Effects estimator, confirm the theory of hysteresis and option value, in so far as a statistically significant negative effect of exchange rate volatility on FDI is found. Price volatility, instead, turns out to be positive but insignificant. Moreover, we show that human capital and trade openness are key for attracting foreign capital. From the policy perspective, our analysis suggests the importance of stabilization policies as well as the policy of government credibility in promoting trade openness and human capital formation.

Suggested Citation

  • Silvia Dal Bianco & Nguyen Cong To Loan, 2017. "FDI Inflows, Price and Exchange Rate Volatility: New Empirical Evidence from Latin America," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:5:y:2017:i:1:p:6-:d:90241
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    3. Michael Effah Asamoah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Frank Adu, 2022. "Exchange rate uncertainty and foreign direct investment in Africa: Does financial development matter?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 878-898, May.
    4. Warren Moraghen & Boopen Seetanah & Noor Sookia, 2019. "Explaining Heterogeneity in the Effect of the Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment: A Meta‐Analysis Approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(3), pages 275-291, September.
    5. Xinna Zhao & Yuhang Tang & Milin Lu & Xiaohong Zhang, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment Dynamic Performance with Low-Carbon Influence: A Provincial Comparative Application in China," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-16, August.
    6. Almenar-Llongo, Vicent & Muñoz de Prat, Javier & Orero-Blat, Maria, 2021. "Qualitative analysis for joint ventures as an entry mode in foreign direct investment," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 324-332.
    7. Zerrin KILI ARSLAN, 2018. "The Relationship between Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey: Toda and Yamamoto Causality Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 61-67.
    8. Fatbardha Morina & Eglantina Hysa & Uğur Ergün & Mirela Panait & Marian Catalin Voica, 2020. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth: Case of the CEE Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, August.
    9. Balaban, Suzana & Živkov, Dejan & Milenković, Ivan, 2019. "Impact of an unexplained component of real exchange rate volatility on FDI: Evidence from transition countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    10. Alfalih, Abdullah Abdulmohsen & Bel Hadj, Tarek, 2020. "Foreign direct investment determinants in an oil abundant host country: Short and long-run approach for Saudi Arabia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

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