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Sensitivity of Air Pollution-Induced Premature Mortality to Precursor Emissions under the Influence of Climate Change

Author

Listed:
  • Efthimios Tagaris

    (School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 311 Ferst Drive Atlanta, GA 30332-0512, USA
    Environmental Research Laboratory, NCSR Demokritos, Patriarchou Gregoriou Str. Aghia Paraskevi 153-10, Greece)

  • Kuo-Jen Liao

    (School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 311 Ferst Drive Atlanta, GA 30332-0512, USA)

  • Anthony J. DeLucia

    (Department of Surgery, James H. Quillen College of Medicine, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, TN 37614, USA)

  • Leland Deck

    (Stratus Consulting Inc., 1920 L Street, NW; Suite 420, Washington, DC 20036, USA)

  • Praveen Amar

    (Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management (NESCAUM), 89 South Street, Suite 602, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

  • Armistead G. Russell

    (School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 311 Ferst Drive Atlanta, GA 30332-0512, USA)

Abstract

The relative contributions of PM 2.5 and ozone precursor emissions to air pollution-related premature mortality modulated by climate change are estimated for the U.S. using sensitivities of air pollutants to precursor emissions and health outcomes for 2001 and 2050. Result suggests that states with high emission rates and significant premature mortality increases induced by PM 2.5 will substantially benefit in the future from SO 2 , anthropogenic NO X and NH 3 emissions reductions while states with premature mortality increases induced by O 3 will benefit mainly from anthropogenic NO X emissions reduction. Much of the increase in premature mortality expected from climate change-induced pollutant increases can be offset by targeting a specific precursor emission in most states based on the modeling approach followed here.

Suggested Citation

  • Efthimios Tagaris & Kuo-Jen Liao & Anthony J. DeLucia & Leland Deck & Praveen Amar & Armistead G. Russell, 2010. "Sensitivity of Air Pollution-Induced Premature Mortality to Precursor Emissions under the Influence of Climate Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-16, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:7:y:2010:i:5:p:2222-2237:d:8217
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    Cited by:

    1. Ruth McDermott-Levy & Madeline Scolio & Kabindra M. Shakya & Caroline H. Moore, 2021. "Factors That Influence Climate Change-Related Mortality in the United States: An Integrative Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(15), pages 1-21, August.

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