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Change in China’s SRB: A Dynamic Spatial Panel Approach

Author

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  • Tingshuai Ge

    (Institute for Population and Development Studies, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China)

  • Li Mei

    (Institute for Population and Development Studies, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China)

  • Xiujun Tai

    (School of Economics and Management, Shanxi Normal University, Linfen 041004, China)

  • Quanbao Jiang

    (Institute for Population and Development Studies, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China)

Abstract

There has been some research on factors affecting China’s rising sex ratio at birth (SRB), but the spatial dependence has been largely neglected. With China’s census and sample survey data and the dynamic spatial Durbin model; we analyzed the changes in SRB in China. We found that SRB and its influencing factors were spatially correlated at the provincial level. For direct effects; urbanization significantly reduced SRB in this region; while strict family planning policies increased SRB in the local region. For indirect effects; the increase in per capita Gross Domestic Product and urbanization led to an increase in the SRB of the neighboring regions through population mobility. By comparison; educational improvement in one region benefited the neighboring provinces and reduced SRB.

Suggested Citation

  • Tingshuai Ge & Li Mei & Xiujun Tai & Quanbao Jiang, 2020. "Change in China’s SRB: A Dynamic Spatial Panel Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-15, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:21:p:8018-:d:437914
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