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Investigating the Current and Future Co-Occurrence of Ambrosia artemisiifolia and Ophraella communa in Europe through Ecological Modelling and Remote Sensing Data Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Mattia Iannella

    (Department of Life, Health & Environmental Sciences, University of L’Aquila, Via Vetoio Coppito, 67100 L’Aquila, Italy)

  • Walter De Simone

    (Department of Life, Health & Environmental Sciences, University of L’Aquila, Via Vetoio Coppito, 67100 L’Aquila, Italy)

  • Paola D’Alessandro

    (Department of Life, Health & Environmental Sciences, University of L’Aquila, Via Vetoio Coppito, 67100 L’Aquila, Italy)

  • Giulia Console

    (Department of Life, Health & Environmental Sciences, University of L’Aquila, Via Vetoio Coppito, 67100 L’Aquila, Italy)

  • Maurizio Biondi

    (Department of Life, Health & Environmental Sciences, University of L’Aquila, Via Vetoio Coppito, 67100 L’Aquila, Italy)

Abstract

The common ragweed Ambrosia artemisiifolia has spread throughout Europe since the 1800s, infesting croplands and causing severe allergic reactions. Recently, the ragweed leaf beetle Ophraella communa was found in Italy and Switzerland; considering that it feeds primarily on A. artemisiifolia in its invaded ranges, some projects started biological control of this invasive plant through the adventive beetle. In this context of a ‘double’ invasion, we assessed the influence of climate change on the spread of these alien species through ecological niche modelling. Considering that A. artemisiifolia mainly lives in agricultural and urbanized areas, we refined the models using satellite remote-sensing data; we also assessed the co-occurrence of the two species in these patches. A. artemisiifolia is predicted to expand more than O. communa in the future, with the medium and high classes of suitability of the former increasing more than the latter, resulting in lower efficacy for O. communa to potentially control A. artemisiifolia in agricultural and urbanized patches. Although a future assessment was performed through the 2018 land-cover data, the predictions we propose are intended to be a starting point for future assessments, considering that the possibility of a shrinkage of target patches is unlikely to occur.

Suggested Citation

  • Mattia Iannella & Walter De Simone & Paola D’Alessandro & Giulia Console & Maurizio Biondi, 2019. "Investigating the Current and Future Co-Occurrence of Ambrosia artemisiifolia and Ophraella communa in Europe through Ecological Modelling and Remote Sensing Data Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-16, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:16:y:2019:i:18:p:3416-:d:267187
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Plank, Leonhard & Zak, Denise & Getzner, Michael & Follak, Swen & Essl, Franz & Dullinger, Stefan & Kleinbauer, Ingrid & Moser, Dietmar & Gattringer, Andreas, 2016. "Benefits and costs of controlling three allergenic alien species under climate change and dispersal scenarios in Central Europe," Environmental Science & Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 9-21.
    2. Stefan Schindler & Wolfgang Rabitsch & Franz Essl & Peter Wallner & Kathrin Lemmerer & Swen Follak & Hans-Peter Hutter, 2018. "Alien Species and Human Health: Austrian Stakeholder Perspective on Challenges and Solutions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-11, November.
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