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Climatic Factors and Influenza Transmission, Spain, 2010–2015

Author

Listed:
  • Diana Gomez-Barroso

    (National Centre for Epidemiology, Carlos III Institute of Health, Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
    Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública—CIBERESP), Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain)

  • Inmaculada León-Gómez

    (National Centre for Epidemiology, Carlos III Institute of Health, Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
    Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública—CIBERESP), Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain)

  • Concepción Delgado-Sanz

    (National Centre for Epidemiology, Carlos III Institute of Health, Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
    Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública—CIBERESP), Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain)

  • Amparo Larrauri

    (National Centre for Epidemiology, Carlos III Institute of Health, Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
    Consortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública—CIBERESP), Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain)

Abstract

The spatio-temporal distribution of influenza is linked to variations in meteorological factors, like temperature, absolute humidity, or the amount of rainfall. The aim of this study was to analyse the association between influenza activity, and meteorological variables in Spain, across five influenza seasons: 2010–2011 through to 2014–2015 using generalized linear negative binomial mixed models that we calculated the weekly influenza proxies, defined as the weekly influenza-like illness rates, multiplied by the weekly proportion of respiratory specimens that tested positive for influenza. The results showed an association between influenza transmission and dew point and cumulative precipitation. In increase in the dew point temperature of 5 degrees produces a 7% decrease in the Weekly Influenza Proxy (RR 0.928, IC: 0.891–0.966), and while an increase of 10 mm in weekly rainfall equates to a 17% increase in the Weekly Influenza Proxy (RR 1.172, IC: 1.097–1.251). Influenza transmission in Spain is influenced by variations in meteorological variables as temperature, absolute humidity, or the amount of rainfall.

Suggested Citation

  • Diana Gomez-Barroso & Inmaculada León-Gómez & Concepción Delgado-Sanz & Amparo Larrauri, 2017. "Climatic Factors and Influenza Transmission, Spain, 2010–2015," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-9, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:14:y:2017:i:12:p:1469-:d:120618
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ka Chun Chong & William Goggins & Benny Chung Ying Zee & Maggie Haitian Wang, 2015. "Identifying Meteorological Drivers for the Seasonal Variations of Influenza Infections in a Subtropical City — Hong Kong," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, January.
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