Development of a Fault Prediction Algorithm for Marine Propulsion Energy Storage System

The transition to environmentally sustainable maritime operations has gained urgency with the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) 2023 GHG reduction strategy, aiming for net-zero emissions by 2050. While alternative fuels like LNG and methanol serve as transitional solutions, lithium-ion battery energy storage systems (ESSs) offer a viable low-emission alternative. However, safety concerns such as thermal runaway, overcharging, and internal faults pose significant risks to marine battery systems. This study presents an AI-based fault prediction algorithm to enhance the safety and reliability of lithium-ion battery systems used in electric propulsion ships. The research employs a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based predictive model, integrating electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) data and voltage deviation analyses to identify failure patterns. Bayesian optimization is applied to fine-tune hyperparameters, ensuring high predictive accuracy. Additionally, a recursive multi-step prediction model is developed to anticipate long-term battery performance trends. The proposed algorithm effectively detects voltage deviations and pre-emptively predicts battery failures, mitigating fire hazards and ensuring operational stability. The findings support the development of safer and more reliable energy storage solutions, contributing to the broader adoption of electric propulsion in maritime applications.