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Modelling Monetary and Fiscal Governance in the Wake of the Sovereign Debt Crisis in Europe

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  • Bodo Herzog

    (ESB Business School, Reutlingen University, Alteburgstraße 150, Reutlingen D-72762, Germany)

Abstract

This paper analyzes different government debt relief programs in the European Monetary Union. I build a model and study different options ranging from debt relief to the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). The analysis reveals the following: First, patient countries repay debt, while impatient countries more likely consume and default. Second, without ESM loans, indebted countries default anyway. Third, if the probability to be an impatient government is high, then the supply of loans is constrained. In general, sustainable and unsustainable governments should be incentivized differently especially in a supranational monetary union. Finally, I develop policy recommendations for the ongoing debate in the Eurozone.

Suggested Citation

  • Bodo Herzog, 2016. "Modelling Monetary and Fiscal Governance in the Wake of the Sovereign Debt Crisis in Europe," Economies, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-11, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:4:y:2016:i:2:p:9-:d:69439
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mihaela Tofan & Mihaela Onofrei & Anca-Florentina Vatamanu, 2020. "Fiscal Responsibility Legal Framework—New Paradigm for Fiscal Discipline in the EU," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-18, July.
    2. Bodo Herzog & Sufyan Osamah, 2019. "Reverse Engineering of Option Pricing: An AI Application," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-12, November.

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