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The Effects of Geopolitical Uncertainties on Growth: Econometric Analysis on Selected Turkic Republican Countries and Neighboring States

Author

Listed:
  • Halil İbrahim Aydin

    (Department of Economics, Batman University, 72100 Batman, Türkiye)

  • Aniela Bălăcescu

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, “Constantin Brâncuși” University of Targu Jiu, 210135 Târgu Jiu, Romania)

  • Genu Alexandru Căruntu

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, “Constantin Brâncuși” University of Targu Jiu, 210135 Târgu Jiu, Romania)

Abstract

The paper aims to analyze the effect of geopolitical uncertainties on growth in the countries of selected Turkic republics and neighboring states which are experiencing geopolitical uncertainty, especially regarding their position in the global economy. This study investigates how uncertainties quantified by geopolitical risk indices for the global economy (GE), the United States (US), and the Russian Federation (RS) influence the economic growth of the Turkic republics and neighboring states which implement open macroeconomic policies. This analysis employs panel data techniques that consider the interdependence between cross-sectional units. The selected countries included in the study are Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Mongolia, and Uzbekistan. The results show the existence of constricting effects on the economic growth performance of selected countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Halil İbrahim Aydin & Aniela Bălăcescu & Genu Alexandru Căruntu, 2025. "The Effects of Geopolitical Uncertainties on Growth: Econometric Analysis on Selected Turkic Republican Countries and Neighboring States," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-16, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:13:y:2025:i:3:p:83-:d:1616646
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