IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v12y2024i11p309-d1522030.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Should South Asian Stock Market Investors Think Globally? Investigating Safe Haven Properties and Hedging Effectiveness

Author

Listed:
  • Md. Abu Issa Gazi

    (Faculty of Business and Communications, INTI International University, Persiaran Perdana BBN Putra Nilai, Nilai 71800, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
    School of Management, Jiujiang University, Jiujiang 332005, China)

  • Md. Nahiduzzaman

    (Department of Finance and Banking, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Science and Technology University, Gopalganj 8100, Bangladesh)

  • Sanjoy Kumar Sarker

    (Department of Finance and Banking, Islamic University, Kushtia 7003, Bangladesh)

  • Mohammad Bin Amin

    (Doctoral School of Management and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary)

  • Md. Ahsan Kabir

    (Department of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China)

  • Fadoua Kouki

    (Applied Management Program, Applied College at Muhyle, King Khalid University, Abha 61421, Saudi Arabia)

  • Abdul Rahman bin S Senathirajah

    (Faculty of Business and Communications, INTI International University, Persiaran Perdana BBN Putra Nilai, Nilai 71800, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia)

  • László Erdey

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary)

Abstract

In this study, we examine the critical question of whether global equity and bond assets (both green and non-green) offer effective hedging and safe haven properties against stock market risks in South Asia, with a focus on Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. The increasing integration of global financial markets and the volatility experienced during recent economic crises raise important questions regarding the resilience of South Asian markets and the potential protective role of global assets. Drawing on methods like VaR and CVaR tail risk estimators, the DCC-GJR-GARCH time-varying connectedness approach, and cost-effectiveness tools for hedging, we analyze data spanning from 2014 to 2022 to assess these relationships comprehensively. Our findings demonstrate that stock markets in Bangladesh experience lower levels of downside risk in each quantile; however, safe haven properties from the global financial markets are effective for Bangladeshi, Indian, and Pakistani stock markets during the crisis period. Meanwhile, the Sri Lankan stock market neither receives hedging usefulness nor safe haven benefits from the same marketplaces. Additionally, global green assets, specifically green bond assets, are more reliable sources to ensure the safest investment for South Asian investors. Finally, the portfolio implications suggest that while traditional global equity assets offer ideal portfolio weights for South Asian investors, global equity and bond assets (both green and non-green) are the cheapest hedgers for equity investors, particularly in the Bangladeshi, Pakistani, and Sri Lankan stock markets. Moreover, these results hold significant implications for investors seeking to optimize portfolios and manage risk, as well as for policymakers aiming to strengthen regional market resilience. By clarifying the protective capacities of global assets, particularly green ones, our study contributes to a nuanced understanding of portfolio diversification and financial stability strategies within emerging markets in South Asia.

Suggested Citation

  • Md. Abu Issa Gazi & Md. Nahiduzzaman & Sanjoy Kumar Sarker & Mohammad Bin Amin & Md. Ahsan Kabir & Fadoua Kouki & Abdul Rahman bin S Senathirajah & László Erdey, 2024. "Should South Asian Stock Market Investors Think Globally? Investigating Safe Haven Properties and Hedging Effectiveness," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-37, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:11:p:309-:d:1522030
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/11/309/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/11/309/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lucey, Brian M. & Zhang, QiYu, 2010. "Does cultural distance matter in international stock market comovement? Evidence from emerging economies around the world," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 62-78, March.
    2. Mensi, Walid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Zeitun, Rami & Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2017. "Diversification potential of Asian frontier, BRIC emerging and major developed stock markets: A wavelet-based value at risk approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 130-147.
    3. Mohti, Wahbeeah & Dionísio, Andreia & Vieira, Isabel & Ferreira, Paulo, 2019. "Regional and global integration of Asian stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 357-368.
    4. Grisse, Christian & Nitschka, Thomas, 2015. "On financial risk and the safe haven characteristics of Swiss franc exchange rates," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 153-164.
    5. Dungey, Mardi & Gajurel, Dinesh, 2014. "Equity market contagion during the global financial crisis: Evidence from the world's eight largest economies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 161-177.
    6. Ackermann, Josef, 2008. "The subprime crisis and its consequences," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 329-337, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2018. "A global network topology of stock markets: Transmitters and receivers of spillover effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 2136-2153.
    2. Lee, Eun-Joo, 2017. "Intra- and inter-regional portfolio diversification strategies under regional market integration: Evidence from U.S. global banks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-22.
    3. Anita Todea, 2018. "Culture And Stock Price Reaction To Private Information," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 21, pages 117-130, June.
    4. Salahuddin, Sultan & Kashif, Muhammad & Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2020. "Time Varying Stock Market Integration and Diversification Opportunities within Emerging and Frontier Markets," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 65(2), pages 168-195.
    5. Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles, 2017. "Has the uniformity of banking regulation within the European Union restricted rather than encouraged sectoral development?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 48-65.
    6. Janani Sri S. & Parthajit Kayal & G. Balasubramanian, 2022. "Can Equity be Safe-haven for Investment?," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(1), pages 32-63, March.
    7. David Haab & Thomas Nitschka, 2017. "Predicting returns on asset markets of a small, open economy and the influence of global risks," Working Papers 2017-14, Swiss National Bank.
    8. Bruno Thiago Tomio & Guillaume Vallet, 2021. "Carry Trade and Negative Policy Rates in Switzerland : Low-lying fog or storm ?," Post-Print halshs-03669561, HAL.
    9. Kim, Young Min & Lee, Seojin, 2023. "Spillover shifts in the FX market: Implication for the behavior of a safe haven currency," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    10. Harms, Philipp & Shuvalova, Daria, 2020. "Cultural distance and international trade in services: A disaggregate view," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(2).
    11. Henryk Gurgul & Robert Syrek, 2023. "Contagion between selected European indexes during the Covid-19 pandemic," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 33(1), pages 47-59.
    12. Kinkyo, Takuji, 2021. "Region-wide connectedness of Asian equity and currency markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    13. Chowdhury, Biplob & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam & Dungey, Mardi, 2018. "Quantile relationships between standard, diffusion and jump betas across Japanese banks," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 29-47.
    14. Dungey, Mardi & Milunovich, George & Thorp, Susan & Yang, Minxian, 2015. "Endogenous crisis dating and contagion using smooth transition structural GARCH," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 71-79.
    15. Kim Hiang Liow & Qing Ye, 2017. "Switching Regime Beta Analysis of Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from International Public Real Estate Markets," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 127-164, January.
    16. Hampl, Filip & Vágnerová Linnertová, Dagmar & Horváth, Matúš, 2024. "Crypto havens during war times? Evidence from the Russian invasion of Ukraine," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    17. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria Miruna, 2020. "Time-varying dependence in European equity markets: A contagion and investor sentiment driven analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 133-147.
    18. Carl-Henrik Dahlqvist, 2018. "Cross-country information transmissions and the role of commodity markets: A multichannel Markov switching approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(8), pages 1-22, August.
    19. De Bock, Reinout & de Carvalho Filho, Irineu, 2015. "The behavior of currencies during risk-off episodes," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 218-234.
    20. Tabak, Benjamin M. & Luduvice, André Victor D. & Cajueiro, Daniel O., 2011. "Modeling default probabilities: The case of Brazil," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 513-534, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:11:p:309-:d:1522030. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.