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Социально-Экономическое Положение В Странах G20: Прогнозы Ухудшаются

Author

Listed:
  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Yury N. Perevyshin

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Pavel V. Trunin

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Maria I. Chembulatova

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

Темпы мирового экономического роста продолжают замедляться, причем прогнозы дальнейшего развития ухудшаются. Агентство Moody’s в августе текущего года понизило прогноз темпа роста стран G20 на 2022 г. до 2,5%. Согласно оценкам агентства в 2023 г. в еврозоне будет наблюдаться рецессия. В качестве факторов ухудшения ситуации выделяются шок, вызванный ценами на энергоносители, ужесточение денежно-кредитной политики в развитых странах, а также замедление темпов роста экономики Китая. В августе заседания по монетарной политике провели центральные банки 9 стран G20 из 15, таргетирующих инфляцию; монетарные регуляторы Великобритании, Южной Кореи, Бразилии, Индонезии, Мексики, Австралии и Индии повысили ставки процента, а Турции и Китая – снизили.

Suggested Citation

  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev & Yury N. Perevyshin & Pavel V. Trunin & Maria I. Chembulatova, 2022. "Социально-Экономическое Положение В Странах G20: Прогнозы Ухудшаются," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 10, pages 4-12, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:ruserr:r2281
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    мировая экономика; темпы роста; прогноз; денежно-кредитная политика; агентство Moody’s;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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