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Развитие Мировой Экономики: Ухудшение Прогнозов

Author

Listed:
  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Yury N. Perevyshin

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Pavel V. Trunin

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Maria I. Chembulatova

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

В июле текущего года прогнозы развития мировой экономики обновили МВФ, Европейская комиссия и Азиатский банк развития. В обновленном прогнозе МВФ понижен темп роста мирового ВВП на 2022 г. до 3,2% в связи с замедлением этого показателя в крупнейших странах G20. В то же время для некоторых стран G20 – Бразилии, Индонезии, Южной Африки и России – прогноз на 2022 г. улучшен, что обусловлено ростом цен на энергоносители и некоторые металлы, а в случае России еще и эффективностью мер по стабилизации финансового сектора. К ухудшению прогнозов предрасполагает ужесточение денежно-кредитной политики монетарными властями большинства стран G20 вследствие ускорения инфляции.

Suggested Citation

  • Urmat K. Dzhunkeev & Yury N. Perevyshin & Pavel V. Trunin & Maria I. Chembulatova, 2022. "Развитие Мировой Экономики: Ухудшение Прогнозов," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 9, pages 4-14, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:ruserr:r2273
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    мировая экономика; темпы роста; прогноз; денежно-кредитная политика; МВФ; Европейская комиссия; Азиатский банк развития;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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